Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Monaco v Lille

2026-10-25 14:00 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

25 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

AS Monaco (Local)

Prediction 45.23%2.21fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.852%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.76%45.24%45.26%45.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.922.062.052.1752.08%48.56%48.78%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lille (Visit)

Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV -0.666%
Edge -0.195%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.36%29.05%29.11%29.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.183.203.4134.48%31.49%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.64%3.90fair odd
EV -1.80%
Edge -0.471%
Kelly -0.638%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.98%25.70%25.63%26.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.623.603.8329.41%27.59%27.78%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: AS Monaco (Local): 45.23%; Lille (Visit): 29.13%; Draw: 25.64%. For Lille (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.41, with an expected value of -0.666%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 45.39%EV -1.85%E -0.852%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.89%EV -0.666%E -0.195%K -0.276%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.72%EV -1.80%E -0.471%K -0.638%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-11 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.41%EV -4.56%E -2.16%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.04%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.55%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-11 14:24
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -2.57%E -0.677%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 13:29
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-11 13:34
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 13:29
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 14:04
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 14:04
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.52%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-11 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.76%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -5.14%E -1.39%K -1.90%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-11 13:29
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -3.87%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-11 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.25%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-11 13:29
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:30
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -10.26%E -2.93%K -4.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-11 13:29
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 13:29
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 13:30
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -7.28%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -7.70%E -2.14%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-11 13:34
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.24%EV -8.63%E -4.27%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.01%EV -8.24%E -2.62%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -8.98%E -2.53%K -3.52%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-11 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -9.54%E -4.77%K -9.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -9.70%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -6.42%E -1.76%K -2.42%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-11 13:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.96%EV -10.44%E -5.27%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.62%EV -7.37%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.42%EV -8.21%E -2.29%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-11 13:28
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 45.23%EV -12.70%E -6.58%K -13.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -12.61%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-11 13:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.91%EV -13.16%E -6.85%K -14.30%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%EV -15.52%E -5.35%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -12.83%E -3.77%K -5.35%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-11 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 44.74%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.50%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.76%4.9%2026-10-11 13:40