The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Angers v Nice

2026-11-08 16:15 UTC — Ligue 1 - France

Head to Head

27 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Angers (Local)

Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -1.69%
Edge -0.479%
Kelly -0.667%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.43%27.69%27.76%28.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.403.5431.75%29.73%29.41%28.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nice (Visit)

Prediction 46.10%2.17fair odd
EV -0.896%
Edge -0.417%
Kelly -0.779%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.16%46.05%46.11%48.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.002.022.1554.35%49.98%49.50%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.14%3.83fair odd
EV +0.359%
Edge +0.093%
Kelly +0.126%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.26%26.13%27.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.583.603.8429.41%27.90%27.78%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Angers (Local): 27.77%; Nice (Visit): 46.10%; Draw: 26.14%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.84, producing a positive expected value of +0.359%.

Sportsbook Odds (27 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.54I 28.25%NM 27.84%EV -1.69%E -0.479%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.49%EV -2.28%E -1.07%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.67%EV +0.359%E +0.093%K +0.126%G +0.000%1.5%2026-10-25 21:18
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.04%EV -6.89%E -3.41%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -0.686%E -0.181%K -0.245%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 20:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -1.99%E -0.532%K -0.725%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 22:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.44I 29.07%NM 27.86%EV -4.47%E -1.30%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.52%EV -5.04%E -2.45%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.62%EV -2.25%E -0.603%K -0.823%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-25 21:20
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 21:20
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-25 21:20
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 20:59
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.30%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.64%EV -11.50%E -5.99%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.06%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 21:55
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.03%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 20:58
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 21:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 21:20
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 21:01
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.81%E -3.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 21:27
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.11%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-25 21:39
LeoVegas🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.73%EV -4.19%E -1.22%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.29%EV -10.11%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 21:55
Pinnacle🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.97%E -2.08%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.66%EV -1.82%E -0.853%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.95%EV -7.74%E -2.19%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-25 21:41
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 23:04
Betway🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -9.75%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.12%EV -5.51%E -2.69%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-25 21:20
William Hill🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.11%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 20:40
888sport🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.11%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 20:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.11%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 20:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.11%E -5.19%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 20:40
picklebet_au🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.19%EV -11.04%E -5.72%K -11.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 21:55
Betclic (FR)🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 26.43%EV -6.14%E -1.82%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -14.26%E -7.67%K -16.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 21:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.58%E -1.64%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -0.896%E -0.417%K -0.779%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 20:59
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.57%EV -8.36%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.65%EV -15.19%E -8.25%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-25 21:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.48%EV -12.53%E -3.98%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 47.05%EV -15.19%E -8.25%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-25 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.12%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.71%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-10-25 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%6.5%2026-10-25 23:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%6.5%2026-10-25 23:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%6.5%2026-10-25 23:01
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%10.1%2026-10-25 23:05