The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vitré v La Saint-Pierre Milizac

2026-11-14 17:00 UTC — Coupe de France

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vitré (Local)

Prediction 37.09%2.70fair odd
EV -5.42%
Edge -2.13%
Kelly -3.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.01%37.78%36.77%42.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.402.372.5546.51%41.72%42.19%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

La Saint-Pierre Milizac (Visit)

Prediction 34.63%2.89fair odd
EV +7.35%
Edge +2.37%
Kelly +3.50%
Growth +0.258%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.32%33.78%35.01%36.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.412.782.703.1041.49%35.96%37.04%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.28%3.54fair odd
EV -8.09%
Edge -2.49%
Kelly -3.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.59%28.44%28.22%30.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.113.103.2533.33%32.11%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vitré (Local): 37.09%; La Saint-Pierre Milizac (Visit): 34.63%; Draw: 28.28%. For La Saint-Pierre Milizac (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.10, producing a positive expected value of +7.35%.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -20.26%E -9.42%K -17.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV +7.35%E +2.37%K +3.50%G +0.258%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-14 00:10
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV +3.89%E +1.30%K +1.95%G +0.076%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV +3.89%E +1.30%K +1.95%G +0.076%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV +3.89%E +1.30%K +1.95%G +0.076%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV +3.89%E +1.30%K +1.95%G +0.076%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV +3.89%E +1.30%K +1.95%G +0.076%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 00:35
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV +3.89%E +1.30%K +1.95%G +0.076%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 00:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV +3.89%E +1.30%K +1.95%G +0.076%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.84%E -5.46%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV +3.89%E +1.30%K +1.95%G +0.076%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -15.16%E -5.05%K -7.58%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-14 00:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -5.42%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -1.30%E -0.457%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-13 23:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.72%EV -10.98%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -6.50%E -2.41%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.74%EV -10.92%E -3.47%K -5.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-13 23:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 00:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 00:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 00:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.09%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-14 00:10
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.27%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-14 00:35
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-13 23:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -12.10%E -5.10%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -9.27%E -3.54%K -5.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -12.33%E -3.98%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-13 23:14
Bet Victor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-14 00:14
betano_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.10%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31%EV -13.42%E -5.37%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.59%EV -9.51%E -2.97%K -4.32%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-13 23:23
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.01%EV -9.87%E -4.06%K -6.90%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 36.31%EV -16.54%E -6.86%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 27.69%EV -10.64%E -3.37%K -4.92%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-14 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 37.14%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%6.0%2026-11-14 01:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 37.14%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.28%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%6.0%2026-11-14 01:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%2.56I 39.06%NM 35.41%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%10.3%2026-11-14 01:15

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