La scuola delle quote

Lyon v RC Lens

Inizio: 2026-03-05 20:10 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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25 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lyon (Casa)

Previsione 35.26%2.84quota equa
EV -2.69%
Vantaggio -0.976%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.76

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.53%35.29%35.22%35.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.552.622.602.7639.22%38.16%38.46%36.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

RC Lens (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.38%2.68quota equa
EV -3.57%
Vantaggio -1.38%
Kelly -2.26%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.58

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.46%37.29%37.33%37.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.492.502.5841.67%40.15%40.00%38.76%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 27.37%3.65quota equa
EV -1.47%
Vantaggio -0.409%
Kelly -0.566%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.22%27.41%27.45%28.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.203.413.453.6031.25%29.29%28.99%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (25 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.76I 36.23%NM 35.07%EV -2.69%E -0.976%K -1.53%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.66%EV -3.95%E -1.54%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.27%EV -2.84%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-05 20:05
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.34%EV -3.05%E -1.11%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.67%EV -3.57%E -1.38%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.99%EV -1.47%E -0.409%K -0.566%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-05 19:49
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -4.69%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.84%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:50
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.90%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -4.69%E -1.84%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.84%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-05 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-05 19:45
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:50
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.57%E -2.48%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-05 19:50
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 35.81%EV -7.28%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.67%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -2.84%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-05 19:50
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 20:00
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 20:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 20:00
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -7.63%E -2.91%K -4.71%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.05%E -3.40%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-05 20:00
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:50
Unibet (NL)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:50
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:50
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.21%E -1.20%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-05 19:50
Winamax (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -2.84%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:45
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -2.84%E -0.800%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-05 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.42%EV -7.31%E -2.95%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.90%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-05 19:50
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -6.56%E -2.62%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.42%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-05 19:45
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.42%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-05 19:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -8.34%E -3.21%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -10.30%E -4.29%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.42%E -3.88%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-05 19:45
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -5.58%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-05 19:50
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.49%EV -9.18%E -3.78%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -6.94%E -2.04%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-05 19:50
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -10.10%E -3.96%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -8.43%E -3.44%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -9.68%E -2.93%K -4.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-05 20:03
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-03-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-03-05 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.27%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.6%2026-03-05 20:05