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GFA Rumilly Vallières v Saint Etienne

2026-11-15 14:00 UTC — Coupe de France

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GFA Rumilly Vallières (Local)

Prediction 12.41%8.06fair odd
EV +17.86%
Edge +1.88%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.375%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.37%12.45%12.31%13.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.618.009.5015.38%13.13%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Saint Etienne (Visit)

Prediction 70.34%1.42fair odd
EV -6.45%
Edge -4.85%
Kelly -19.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.88%70.35%70.36%74.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.281.291.3381.97%77.96%77.52%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.25%5.80fair odd
EV +9.05%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.154%

assuming max odds 6.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.58%17.20%17.33%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.485.506.3220.00%18.23%18.18%15.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: GFA Rumilly Vallières (Local): 12.41%; Saint Etienne (Visit): 70.34%; Draw: 17.25%. For GFA Rumilly Vallières (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.06. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.50, producing a positive expected value of +17.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.37%EV +17.86%E +1.88%K +2.10%G +0.375%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.05%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.58%EV +9.05%E +1.43%K +1.70%G +0.154%1.5%2026-11-14 21:55
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -9.26%E -7.18%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 21:55
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -9.26%E -7.18%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 21:54
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -9.26%E -7.18%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 21:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.55%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.64%EV -9.26%E -7.18%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 21:54
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +0.077%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +0.077%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +0.077%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Grosvenor🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +0.077%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +0.077%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +0.077%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +0.077%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.58%EV -10.67%E -8.40%K -39.51%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV +0.077%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 14:10
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.36%EV -0.752%E -0.094%K -0.107%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.46%EV -9.26%E -7.18%K -31.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-14 21:55
Codere (IT)🎯7.60I 13.16%NM 12.31%EV -5.71%E -0.752%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.36%EV -6.45%E -4.85%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.33%EV -6.83%E -1.26%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-14 21:55
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -6.96%E -0.927%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -8.56%E -6.58%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-14 21:55
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.76%EV -6.96%E -0.927%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -12.08%E -9.66%K -48.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.65%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%13.3%2026-11-14 21:54
MyBookie.ag🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.66%EV -9.44%E -1.29%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.54%EV -7.86%E -6.00%K -25.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -5.10%E -0.927%K -1.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-14 21:54
Tipico (DE)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.11%EV -10.68%E -1.48%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 71.45%EV -14.19%E -11.63%K -64.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.45%EV -8.55%E -1.61%K -1.99%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-15 00:35
Betway🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -13.16%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -8.56%E -6.58%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-14 21:40
betano_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.16%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -12.08%E -9.66%K -48.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-14 21:54
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -13.16%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -12.08%E -9.66%K -48.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -13.73%E -2.75%K -3.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-14 21:54
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.52%EV -16.26%E -2.41%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.19%EV -8.56%E -6.58%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.29%EV -3.37%E -0.603%K -0.734%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-14 21:55
Pinnacle🎯6.62I 15.11%NM 13.53%EV -17.87%E -2.70%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.88%EV -8.56%E -6.58%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.09I 19.65%NM 17.59%EV -12.17%E -2.39%K -2.98%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-14 23:40
Coral🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -19.36%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -8.56%E -6.58%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-14 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.82%EV -19.36%E -2.98%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.08%EV -8.56%E -6.58%K -28.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -9.41%E -1.79%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-14 21:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 10.82%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.16%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%5.0%2026-11-15 00:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 10.82%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.16%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%5.0%2026-11-15 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.80I 11.36%NM 10.82%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.16%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.01%5.0%2026-11-15 00:25

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