The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

FCO Firminy v Annecy FC

Kickoff: 2026-11-14 16:00 UTC

Final: FCO Firminy 1–1 Annecy FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

24 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

FCO Firminy (Local)

Prediction 6.36%15.72fair odd
EV +46.33%
Edge +2.01%
Kelly +2.11%
Growth +0.976%

assuming max odds 23.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
4.28%6.23%6.28%7.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0015.1414.6323.008.33%6.61%6.84%4.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Annecy FC (Visit)

Prediction 82.46%1.21fair odd
EV -6.82%
Edge -6.04%
Kelly -52.48%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.47%82.72%82.37%87.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.111.1393.46%90.77%90.09%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.18%8.94fair odd
EV +28.57%
Edge +2.48%
Kelly +2.72%
Growth +0.777%

assuming max odds 11.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.56%11.05%11.35%12.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.509.049.5011.5013.33%11.06%10.53%8.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FCO Firminy (Local): 6.36%; Annecy FC (Visit): 82.46%; Draw: 11.18%. For FCO Firminy (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.72. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 23.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +46.33%.

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.28%EV +46.33%E +2.01%K +2.11%G +0.976%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.15%EV -6.82%E -6.04%K -52.48%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.56%EV +28.57%E +2.48%K +2.72%G +0.777%1.5%2026-11-14 15:10
888sport🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +20.88%E +1.10%K +1.16%G +0.242%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -8.47%E -7.63%K -77.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +6.21%E +0.653%K +0.730%G +0.045%5.9%2026-11-14 15:10
William Hill🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +20.88%E +1.10%K +1.16%G +0.242%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -8.47%E -7.63%K -77.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +6.21%E +0.653%K +0.730%G +0.045%5.9%2026-11-14 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +20.88%E +1.10%K +1.16%G +0.242%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -8.47%E -7.63%K -77.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +6.21%E +0.653%K +0.730%G +0.045%5.9%2026-11-14 15:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 4.97%EV +20.88%E +1.10%K +1.16%G +0.242%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.09%EV -8.47%E -7.63%K -77.01%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.94%EV +6.21%E +0.653%K +0.730%G +0.045%5.9%2026-11-14 15:10
Codere (IT)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -4.57%E -0.304%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.82%E -6.04%K -52.48%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.36%EV -8.33%E -1.02%K -1.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-14 14:10
Unibet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -4.57%E -0.304%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.30%E -8.45%K -92.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +11.80%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.155%7.6%2026-11-14 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -4.57%E -0.304%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.30%E -8.45%K -92.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +11.80%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.155%7.6%2026-11-14 14:10
Grosvenor🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -4.57%E -0.304%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.30%E -8.45%K -92.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +11.80%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.155%7.6%2026-11-14 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -4.57%E -0.304%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.30%E -8.45%K -92.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +11.80%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.155%7.6%2026-11-14 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.20%EV -4.57%E -0.304%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -9.30%E -8.45%K -92.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.30%EV +11.80%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.155%7.6%2026-11-14 14:10
Unibet (UK)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.15%EV -4.57%E -0.304%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.33%EV -7.65%E -6.83%K -63.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.53%EV -10.56%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-11-14 14:10
MyBookie.ag🎯14.25I 7.02%NM 6.48%EV -9.34%E -0.655%K -0.705%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 82.40%EV -7.65%E -6.83%K -63.72%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.12%EV -7.21%E -0.869%K -0.988%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-14 15:03
LeoVegas (SE)🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -10.93%E -0.781%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.38%EV -10.95%E -10.13%K -136.82%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.11%EV +11.80%E +1.18%K +1.31%G +0.155%9.7%2026-11-14 15:35
LiveScore Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.43%EV -10.93%E -0.781%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.10%EV -11.77%E -11.00%K -168.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV +6.21%E +0.653%K +0.730%G +0.045%11.1%2026-11-14 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.43%EV -10.93%E -0.781%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 84.10%EV -11.77%E -11.00%K -168.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.47%EV +6.21%E +0.653%K +0.730%G +0.045%11.1%2026-11-14 14:10
betano_uk🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -10.93%E -0.781%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.17%EV -11.77%E -11.00%K -168.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -4.97%E -0.585%K -0.663%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-14 14:10
Bet Victor🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.36%EV -10.93%E -0.781%K -0.841%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 83.17%EV -11.77%E -11.00%K -168.14%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.47%EV -4.97%E -0.585%K -0.663%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-14 14:10
Betway🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -8.47%E -7.63%K -77.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -10.56%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-14 14:10
betfred_uk🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.98%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.69%EV -8.47%E -7.63%K -77.01%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.33%EV -10.56%E -1.32%K -1.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-14 14:10
Tipico (DE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.72%EV -17.29%E -1.33%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 81.63%EV -11.77%E -11.00%K -168.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.65%EV -16.15%E -2.15%K -2.49%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-14 14:55
Winamax (DE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.56%EV -23.65%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 81.76%EV -8.47%E -7.63%K -77.01%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -4.97%E -0.585%K -0.663%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-14 14:10
Coral🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -23.65%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -7.65%E -6.83%K -63.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -16.15%E -2.15%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-14 15:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.51%EV -23.65%E -1.97%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 80.47%EV -7.65%E -6.83%K -63.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -16.15%E -2.15%K -2.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-14 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.