默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Balma SC v US Castanet

2026-11-14 17:30 UTC — Coupe de France

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

23%

51%

26%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Balma SC (主队)

预测 23.36%4.28公平赔率

EV +12.12%

优势 +2.53%

Kelly +3.19%

增长率 +0.387%

假设最高赔率为 4.80

博彩公司预测分布

19.47%23.01%23.36%25.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.374.144.304.8029.67%24.17%23.26%20.83%最小值均值中位数最大值

US Castanet (客队)

预测 50.95%1.96公平赔率

EV -6.75%

优势 -3.69%

Kelly -8.14%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.83

博彩公司预测分布

48.14%51.42%50.95%55.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.681.731.681.8359.52%57.82%59.52%54.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.69%3.89公平赔率

EV +2.75%

优势 +0.687%

Kelly +0.916%

增长率 +0.025%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布

22.69%25.57%25.69%27.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.353.653.754.0029.85%27.40%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Balma SC (主队)：23.36%；US Castanet (客队)：50.95%；平局：25.69%。对于“Balma SC (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.28。有9家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为4.80，由此产生+12.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	平局	利润率	更新时间
Codere (IT)🎯	4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV +12.12%E +2.53%K +3.19%G +0.387%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.62%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.92%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-11-13 19:45
Unibet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +2.78%E +0.632%K +0.817%G +0.023%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-13 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +2.78%E +0.632%K +0.817%G +0.023%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-13 18:39
Unibet (SE)🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +2.78%E +0.632%K +0.817%G +0.023%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-13 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +2.78%E +0.632%K +0.817%G +0.023%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-13 18:40
Virgin Bet🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +2.78%E +0.632%K +0.817%G +0.023%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-13 18:40
Grosvenor🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +2.78%E +0.632%K +0.817%G +0.023%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-13 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +2.78%E +0.632%K +0.817%G +0.023%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-13 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯	4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV +2.78%E +0.632%K +0.817%G +0.023%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -3.68%E -0.980%K -1.34%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-11-13 18:40
betfred_uk🎯	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -1.89%E -0.451%K -0.592%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -8.28%E -4.60%K -10.35%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-11-14 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -8.90%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.03%EV -14.40%E -8.57%K -21.17%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV +2.75%E +0.687%K +0.916%G +0.025%	10.2%	2026-11-13 20:10
Bet Victor🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -8.90%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 51.66%EV -13.38%E -7.87%K -19.11%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-11-14 00:39
betano_uk🎯	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.52%EV -8.90%E -2.28%K -3.07%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 51.66%EV -13.38%E -7.87%K -19.11%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 25.83%EV -12.67%E -3.73%K -5.28%G +0.000%	13.9%	2026-11-14 00:39
888sport🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.24%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-14 00:30
William Hill🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.24%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-14 00:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.24%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-14 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.24%E -2.96%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -6.75%E -3.69%K -8.14%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.53%E -2.09%K -2.90%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-11-14 00:30
Pinnacle🎯	3.37I 29.67%NM 25.85%EV -21.28%E -6.31%K -8.98%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 48.14%EV -7.77%E -4.29%K -9.60%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.01%EV -13.95%E -4.16%K -5.94%G +0.000%	14.8%	2026-11-14 00:30

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。