L’École des cotes

VPS Vaasa v Jaro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prévision 47.16%2.12cote équitable
EV -3.32%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -3.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.57%47.17%47.14%48.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.841.961.962.0554.35%51.03%51.02%48.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaro (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.19%3.82cote équitable
EV -1.52%
Avantage -0.404%
Kelly -0.551%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.29%26.21%26.15%28.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.463.403.7631.75%28.90%29.41%26.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.65%3.75cote équitable
EV -0.068%
Avantage -0.018%
Kelly -0.025%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.64%26.62%26.71%27.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.413.403.7531.75%29.32%29.41%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.82%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.74%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.44%EV -3.27%E -0.900%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 16:10
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 08:40
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.36%EV -4.26%E -2.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -0.068%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 14:24
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.87%EV -4.74%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.72%EV -1.52%E -0.404%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.47%E -0.674%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.74%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 15:19
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 16:54
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 16:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 16:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 16:04
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 16:04
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 16:55
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:14
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:09
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 16:10
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 16:09
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 16:53
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 16:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:24
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:49
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:49
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:50
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:50
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 16:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:09
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.06%EV -8.51%E -4.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 16:50
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.92%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 16:49
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.92%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 16:55
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.92%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-10 15:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.40%E -5.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 16:55
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -10.40%E -5.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:50
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.23%EV -10.87%E -5.75%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-10 16:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.81%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-10 15:14
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.12%EV -13.23%E -7.19%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.94%EV -17.50%E -5.55%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.94%EV -16.06%E -5.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-10 16:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-04-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-10 16:50