La escuela de los momios

VPS Vaasa v Jaro

Inicio: 2026-04-10 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Predicción 47.16%2.12momio equitativo
EV -3.32%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -3.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.57%47.17%47.14%48.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.841.961.962.0554.35%51.03%51.02%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jaro (Visitante)

Predicción 26.19%3.82momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.404%
Kelly -0.551%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.29%26.21%26.15%28.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.463.403.7631.75%28.90%29.41%26.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.65%3.75momio equitativo
EV -0.068%
Ventaja -0.018%
Kelly -0.025%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.64%26.62%26.71%27.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.153.413.403.7531.75%29.32%29.41%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.82%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.74%EV -5.97%E -1.66%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.44%EV -3.27%E -0.900%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-10 16:10
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -3.32%E -1.62%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -16.19%E -5.06%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 08:40
Coolbet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.36%EV -4.26%E -2.10%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.00%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.64%EV -0.068%E -0.018%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-10 14:24
Pinnacle2.02I 49.50%NM 47.87%EV -4.74%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.72%EV -1.52%E -0.404%K -0.551%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.42%EV -2.47%E -0.674%K -0.927%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 16:45
Unibet (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -4.74%E -2.34%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-10 15:19
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.39%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-10 16:54
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 16:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.68%E -2.84%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 16:15
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 16:04
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -5.40%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-10 16:04
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.25%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.63%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.12%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-10 16:55
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 46.38%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.62%EV -8.06%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-10 16:14
Unibet1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%EV -6.62%E -3.34%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:09
BetRivers1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:09
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Grosvenor1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
TABtouch1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Unibet (NL)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
Svenska Spel1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
ATG (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:10
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 46.32%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 16:09
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 16:10
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.14%EV -7.09%E -3.60%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 16:09
LeoVegas1.96I 51.02%NM 46.26%EV -7.57%E -3.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-10 16:09
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.09%E -0.836%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -4.07%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 16:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 16:53
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-10 16:20
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.73%E -1.92%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 16:24
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:49
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:49
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-10 16:50
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:50
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:50
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 46.76%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.43%EV -9.64%E -2.79%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.82%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-10 16:50
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-10 16:15
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:10
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.04%E -4.12%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-10 16:09
Marathon Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.06%EV -8.51%E -4.39%K -9.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.04%EV -4.60%E -1.28%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 16:50
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -9.92%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-10 16:49
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -9.92%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.06%E -3.65%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-10 16:55
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.52%EV -9.92%E -5.20%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.14%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.34%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-10 15:55
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -10.40%E -5.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-10 16:55
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -10.40%E -5.47%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 16:50
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.23%EV -10.87%E -5.75%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.88%EV -13.39%E -4.12%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-10 16:10
BoyleSports1.87I 53.48%NM 47.05%EV -11.81%E -6.32%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -9.39%E -2.76%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-10 15:14
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.12%EV -13.23%E -7.19%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.94%EV -17.50%E -5.55%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.94%EV -16.06%E -5.10%K -7.47%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-10 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.72%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.83%0.7%2026-04-10 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-10 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 47.96%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70%1.2%2026-04-10 16:50