Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa v IF Gnistan

2026-10-12 15:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prediction 48.07%2.08fair odd
EV -6.27%
Edge -3.21%
Kelly -6.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%48.07%48.07%48.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.871.881.9558.14%53.51%53.19%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Gnistan (Visit)

Prediction 26.16%3.82fair odd
EV -8.46%
Edge -2.42%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.99%26.16%26.16%27.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.433.503.5031.75%29.12%28.57%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV -7.21%
Edge -2.00%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.93%25.78%25.78%25.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.523.553.6029.85%28.44%28.17%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: VPS Vaasa (Local): 48.07%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 26.16%; Draw: 25.78%. For VPS Vaasa (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.08. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.95, with an expected value of -6.27%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.07%EV -6.27%E -3.21%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.08%EV -11.33%E -3.34%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-05 15:10
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.28%EV -7.71%E -4.01%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.69%E -4.15%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-05 15:04
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.25%EV -9.15%E -4.84%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.69%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-05 15:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 15:05
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 15:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 15:05
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 15:05
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 15:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 15:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 15:05
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.39%EV -9.63%E -5.12%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.99%EV -8.46%E -2.42%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-05 15:05
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -11.07%E -5.99%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-05 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.07%EV -11.07%E -5.99%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.78%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-05 15:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.20%EV -11.55%E -6.28%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-05 15:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.20%EV -11.55%E -6.28%K -13.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -11.07%E -3.26%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-05 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 48.56%EV -17.32%E -10.07%K -24.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.51%EV -17.61%E -5.59%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.93%EV -13.65%E -4.07%K -5.81%G +0.000%19.7%2026-10-05 15:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.