Language:English
VPS Vaasa v IF Gnistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
VPS Vaasa (Local)
Prediction 39.15%2.55fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.690%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.99%39.04%39.28%41.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.352.352.6048.78%42.53%42.55%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IF Gnistan (Visit)
Prediction 33.64%2.97fair odd
EV -0.430%
Edge -0.145%
Kelly -0.219%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.91%33.81%33.57%36.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.702.652.9640.82%37.04%37.74%33.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.21%3.68fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -0.787%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%27.15%27.15%28.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.343.303.6032.26%29.97%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VPS Vaasa (Local): 39.15%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 33.64%; Draw: 27.21%. For VPS Vaasa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.55. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV +1.80%E +0.690%K +1.12%G +0.020% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -10.86%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.05%E -0.568%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-12 11:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -5.25%E -2.17%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-12 14:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.11%EV -5.64%E -2.34%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.66%EV -0.430%E -0.145%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -3.41%E -0.960%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-12 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -2.45%E -0.844%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 14:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -2.45%E -0.844%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 14:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.80%EV -2.45%E -0.844%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 14:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.40%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.18%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-12 14:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.36%EV -5.48%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-12 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.99%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.04%EV -1.78%E -0.608%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.97%EV -12.11%E -3.75%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-12 14:58 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.94%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.98%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.09%EV -6.13%E -1.78%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-12 14:58 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-12 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-12 14:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 14:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.04%E -2.51%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-12 14:43 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.99%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.82%EV -2.45%E -0.844%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.77%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-12 14:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.45%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -4.13%E -1.45%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-12 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.82%E -2.86%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.46%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-12 14:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-12 14:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.85%E -2.64%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-12 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.86%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-12 14:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -14.22%E -5.58%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -14.22%E -5.58%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -14.22%E -5.58%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 14:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.65%EV -7.99%E -3.40%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.70%EV -14.22%E -5.58%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.11%EV -9.17%E -3.95%K -6.94%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.60%EV -6.82%E -2.46%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 26.29%EV -3.68%E -1.04%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-12 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 14:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.49%E -2.73%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-12 14:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-12 14:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-12 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -5.81%E -2.08%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-12 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -9.18%E -3.40%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-12 14:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -10.86%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-12 14:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -11.87%E -4.53%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-12 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -11.87%E -4.53%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -10.21%E -3.09%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-12 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-12 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-12 14:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-12 14:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.87%E -4.53%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-12 14:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.87%E -4.53%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.57%E -3.56%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-12 14:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -9.95%E -4.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -11.53%E -4.38%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.93%E -4.04%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-12 14:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 37.82%EV -11.91%E -5.29%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 34.73%EV -17.59%E -7.18%K -12.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.45%EV -15.65%E -5.05%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 17.5% | 2026-10-12 14:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.87%E -6.30%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -15.90%E -6.36%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -7.49%E -2.20%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-10-12 14:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.25%EV -19.74%E -9.63%K -18.80%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.91%EV -10.86%E -4.10%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.84%EV -14.29%E -4.54%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 18.3% | 2026-10-12 14:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 14:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.79% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.01% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.21% | 0.7% | 2026-10-12 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 14:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.88% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-12 14:55 |