Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa v FC Inter Turku

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 12:00 UTC

Final: VPS Vaasa 0–1 FC Inter Turku

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prediction 34.68%2.88fair odd
EV +0.580%
Edge +0.200%
Kelly +0.305%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.22%34.77%34.65%36.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.622.9041.67%38.08%38.17%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Inter Turku (Visit)

Prediction 36.43%2.75fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.610%
Kelly -0.969%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.36%36.35%36.47%38.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.532.542.7042.55%39.48%39.37%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.89%3.46fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.695%
Kelly -0.988%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.86%28.88%28.87%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.203.3833.33%31.19%31.25%29.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: VPS Vaasa (Local): 34.68%; FC Inter Turku (Visit): 36.43%; Draw: 28.89%. For VPS Vaasa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.580%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV +0.580%E +0.200%K +0.305%G +0.002%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.30%EV -11.12%E -4.56%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.48%EV -8.42%E -2.66%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-02 11:55
Pinnacle🎯2.82I 35.46%NM 34.34%EV -2.19%E -0.778%K -1.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -1.65%E -0.610%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 11:45
Coolbet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV -2.89%E -1.03%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.97%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.70%EV -3.22%E -0.960%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-02 09:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.62%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.66%EV -2.64%E -0.783%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.62%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.66%EV -2.64%E -0.783%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 10:59
BetAnything🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.62%EV -3.24%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.72%EV -4.20%E -1.60%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.66%EV -2.64%E -0.783%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 10:59
Bovada🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -4.62%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 11:53
BetUS🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -4.62%E -1.68%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.04%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 11:55
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.86%EV -6.01%E -2.22%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.19%EV -7.48%E -2.94%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.95%EV -2.35%E -0.695%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-27 00:05
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.85%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 11:40
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 11:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 11:40
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:55
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.89%EV -6.36%E -2.35%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.60%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-02 11:55
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.05%E -2.63%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 11:45
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.92%EV -7.05%E -2.63%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.28%EV -6.02%E -2.33%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 11:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -7.05%E -2.63%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -4.93%E -1.89%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -8.71%E -2.76%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 11:54
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.72%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.08%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-02 11:39
LeoVegas🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 11:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 11:49
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.88%E -3.90%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -8.09%E -3.05%K -4.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -14.40%E -6.13%K -10.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-02 11:35
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.13%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 11:54
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -9.13%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 11:53
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.13%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 11:45
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -9.13%E -3.49%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-02 11:40
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-02 11:45
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.93%E -3.57%K -5.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-02 11:40
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -12.58%E -5.24%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -7.55%E -2.36%K -3.43%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-02 11:04
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 11:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 11:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 11:40
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.59%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 11:40
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 10:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -9.82%E -3.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.25%EV -10.75%E -4.39%K -7.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -13.33%E -4.44%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 11:49
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:19
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:20
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:19
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:25
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:20
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -5.29%E -2.03%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -4.66%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 11:19
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -13.29%E -5.32%K -8.86%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.77%EV -13.30%E -5.59%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.23%EV -10.44%E -3.37%K -4.97%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-02 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -13.99%E -5.64%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 11:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.55%EV -13.99%E -5.64%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -7.11%E -2.79%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.89%EV -6.11%E -1.88%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-02 11:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -16.76%E -6.98%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.45%EV -9.66%E -3.90%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.91%EV -9.00%E -2.86%K -4.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-02 11:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.90%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.93%0.2%2026-08-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.90%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.93%0.2%2026-08-02 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.90%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.93%0.2%2026-08-02 11:55
Matchbook2.86I 34.97%NM 34.90%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.17%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.93%0.2%2026-08-02 11:55

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