Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VPS Vaasa v AC Oulu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-08 15:00 UTC

Score final : VPS Vaasa 1–0 AC Oulu

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

VPS Vaasa (Local)

Prévision 42.16%2.37cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.00%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.54%42.44%41.91%46.16%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.152.152.3151.81%46.47%46.51%43.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AC Oulu (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.51%3.51cote équitable
EV +6.89%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +2.51%
Croissance +0.173%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.60%28.34%28.70%29.88%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.203.7533.33%31.03%31.25%26.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 29.34%3.41cote équitable
EV -0.245%
Avantage -0.072%
Kelly -0.102%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.52%29.23%29.39%30.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.193.203.4033.33%31.38%31.25%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : VPS Vaasa (Local) : 42.16% ; AC Oulu (Visiteur) : 28.51% ; Match nul : 29.34%. Pour AC Oulu (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.51. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.75, soit une espérance positive de +6.89%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.16%EV -12.32%E -5.92%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +6.89%E +1.84%K +2.51%G +0.173%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-08 11:50
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.86%EV -2.62%E -1.14%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.55%EV +0.053%E +0.015%K +0.021%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.60%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 14:55
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -1.66%E -0.480%K -0.676%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -3.18%E -0.963%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-08 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:50
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:50
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:50
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:50
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -0.245%E -0.072%K -0.102%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.51%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -4.79%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -7.87%E -2.51%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -3.04%E -1.32%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-08 14:50
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.89%EV -8.10%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-08 14:55
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.93%E -1.80%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 14:55
GTbets🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.45%EV -5.57%E -2.49%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.08%EV -6.79%E -2.08%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.47%EV -2.01%E -0.600%K -0.857%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 14:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-08 14:45
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -6.42%E -2.89%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.61%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-08 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.12%EV -8.10%E -3.72%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.25%EV -7.36%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 14:55
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.69%EV -6.42%E -2.89%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.38%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 14:50
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 14:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 14:40
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 14:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-08 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -8.78%E -2.74%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-08 14:39
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.91%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.27%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.81%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-08 14:45
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-08 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -15.69%E -7.84%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -15.69%E -7.84%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -15.69%E -7.84%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 14:48
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.25%EV -15.69%E -7.84%K -15.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -10.21%E -3.24%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.66%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-08 14:50
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -11.06%E -3.55%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -8.46%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 14:54
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -11.06%E -3.55%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.26%EV -8.46%E -2.71%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 14:55
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -5.15%E -2.29%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-08 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -6.11%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-08 14:50
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -9.37%E -4.36%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.47%E -5.46%K -10.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -11.63%E -3.75%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-08 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 44.34%EV -18.64%E -9.66%K -20.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -13.06%E -4.28%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-08 14:50
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.48%E -4.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.48%E -4.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.48%E -4.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.26%E -3.30%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.48%E -4.83%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -11.98%E -3.99%K -5.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-08 14:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-09-08 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-09-08 14:55
Matchbook◎2.34I 42.74%NM 42.41%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%0.8%2026-09-08 14:50