L’École des cotes

TPS Turku v VPS Vaasa

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 14:00 UTC

Score final : TPS Turku 1–0 VPS Vaasa

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Prévision 28.64%3.49cote équitable
EV -1.21%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.493%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.11%28.64%28.64%30.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.223.253.4533.33%31.04%30.77%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

VPS Vaasa (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.39%2.30cote équitable
EV +0.237%
Avantage +0.103%
Kelly +0.181%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.36%43.40%43.43%44.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.972.112.102.3150.76%47.38%47.62%43.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.97%3.58cote équitable
EV -3.50%
Avantage -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.27%27.97%27.93%29.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.273.303.4532.26%30.54%30.30%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 29.77%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.36%EV +0.237%E +0.103%K +0.181%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 13:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -0.197%E -0.085%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 13:30
Pinnacle3.43I 29.15%NM 28.18%EV -1.78%E -0.519%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.09%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:20
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 13:50
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.40%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 13:20
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.40%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 13:20
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.34%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.23%EV -5.84%E -2.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:40
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -1.21%E -0.350%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.27%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 13:20
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -1.21%E -0.350%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.27%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 13:20
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 13:20
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:40
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:39
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:40
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:40
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:50
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:49
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -8.01%E -3.78%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.89%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 13:50
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:20
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:10
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 13:20
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:19
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.17%EV -10.18%E -4.92%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.17%EV -10.18%E -4.92%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 13:20
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -10.61%E -5.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:20
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -10.61%E -5.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:20
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -10.61%E -5.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:20
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.04%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 13:19
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.04%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 13:30
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.04%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 13:20
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -13.21%E -6.61%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 13:20
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.21%E -6.61%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-30 13:20
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.21%E -6.61%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-30 13:09
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.21%E -6.61%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-30 13:19
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.43%EV -14.52%E -7.37%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.89%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 13:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-30 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-30 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-30 13:30