La escuela de los momios

TPS Turku v VPS Vaasa

Inicio: 2026-05-30 14:00 UTC

Final: TPS Turku 1–0 VPS Vaasa

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

TPS Turku (Local)

Predicción 28.64%3.49momio equitativo
EV -1.21%
Ventaja -0.350%
Kelly -0.493%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.11%28.64%28.64%30.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.223.253.4533.33%31.04%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

VPS Vaasa (Visitante)

Predicción 43.39%2.30momio equitativo
EV +0.237%
Ventaja +0.103%
Kelly +0.181%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.36%43.40%43.43%44.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.112.102.3150.76%47.38%47.62%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.97%3.58momio equitativo
EV -3.50%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -1.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.27%27.97%27.93%29.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.273.303.4532.26%30.54%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets3.21I 31.15%NM 29.77%EV -8.08%E -2.52%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.36%EV +0.237%E +0.103%K +0.181%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.87%EV -7.41%E -2.24%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-30 13:20
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.72%EV -0.197%E -0.085%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.81%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 13:30
Pinnacle3.43I 29.15%NM 28.18%EV -1.78%E -0.519%K -0.733%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.73%EV -4.10%E -1.86%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.09%EV -3.78%E -1.10%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:20
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.54%E -2.06%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-30 13:50
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.40%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 13:20
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.71%EV -5.40%E -2.48%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.65%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 13:20
1xBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.34%EV -5.22%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.23%EV -5.84%E -2.69%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:40
BetOnline.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -1.21%E -0.350%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.27%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 13:20
LowVig.ag3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -1.21%E -0.350%K -0.493%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.27%E -2.90%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.39%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 13:20
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -3.50%E -1.01%K -1.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 13:20
Marathon Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:40
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:39
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:40
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 13:40
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:50
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:50
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:50
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.71%E -3.12%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-30 13:49
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.63%EV -8.01%E -3.78%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -11.89%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 13:50
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:20
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:10
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-30 13:20
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -9.09%E -2.80%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -12.66%E -4.15%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:19
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.23%E -3.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.88%E -4.23%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.05%EV -9.74%E -4.68%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:20
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.17%EV -10.18%E -4.92%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.13%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.17%EV -10.18%E -4.92%K -9.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 13:20
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -10.61%E -5.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:20
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -10.61%E -5.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:20
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.29%EV -10.61%E -5.15%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.64%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-30 13:20
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.04%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 13:19
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -2.64%E -0.776%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -11.04%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-30 13:30
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -5.50%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -11.04%E -5.39%K -10.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -7.69%E -2.33%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 13:20
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -6.93%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -13.21%E -6.61%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 13:20
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.53%EV -8.37%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.05%EV -13.21%E -6.61%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.42%EV -13.29%E -4.29%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-30 13:20
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.21%E -6.61%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-30 13:09
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -14.09%E -4.70%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -13.21%E -6.61%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -10.49%E -3.28%K -4.77%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-30 13:19
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -9.80%E -3.11%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.43%EV -14.52%E -7.37%K -14.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.89%E -3.77%K -5.53%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-30 13:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.00%0.6%2026-05-30 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-30 13:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-30 13:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.43%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-05-30 13:30