Language:English
TPS Turku v Jaro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TPS Turku (Local)
Prediction 45.62%2.19fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -2.23%
Kelly -4.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.41%45.70%45.60%47.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.992.002.0955.25%50.21%50.00%47.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jaro (Visit)
Prediction 27.54%3.63fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.632%
Kelly -0.880%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.76%27.51%27.64%28.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.343.303.5532.79%29.97%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.85%3.72fair odd
EV -0.665%
Edge -0.180%
Kelly -0.246%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.25%26.80%26.76%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.453.423.7032.26%28.95%29.20%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 45.62%; Jaro (Visit): 27.54%; Draw: 26.85%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.70, with an expected value of -0.665%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.18%EV -4.66%E -2.23%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.53%EV -5.55%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.29%EV -7.11%E -2.05%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-04 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.60%EV -5.12%E -2.46%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -6.03%E -2.93%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.06%EV -2.24%E -0.632%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -2.01%E -0.550%K -0.757%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-09-23 12:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -6.03%E -2.93%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.51I 28.49%NM 27.12%EV -3.35%E -0.953%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.67%EV -4.15%E -1.16%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-01 11:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -6.03%E -2.93%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-29 21:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 06:56 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.62%E -1.03%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-28 13:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.37%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 17:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-10-05 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 02:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 02:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 02:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -6.49%E -3.16%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-05 14:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.59%EV -6.94%E -3.40%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.84%EV -8.03%E -2.40%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-30 04:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.88%EV -7.86%E -3.89%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.86%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-28 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -7.75%E -2.31%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.38%E -2.14%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-05 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.38%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.93%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-05 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.40%E -3.46%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-05 06:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 15:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 15:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.64%EV -8.77%E -4.38%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.90%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -12.75%E -3.92%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-02 17:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.54%EV -10.14%E -5.15%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -0.665%E -0.180%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.665%E -0.180%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.665%E -0.180%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.665%E -0.180%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.665%E -0.180%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.665%E -0.180%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.665%E -0.180%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.665%E -0.180%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.67%EV -10.59%E -5.40%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.00%E -1.45%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.665%E -0.180%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.05%E -5.67%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 06:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -11.05%E -5.67%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-05 07:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.67%EV -11.05%E -5.67%K -11.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.10%EV -14.64%E -4.72%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -14.09%E -4.40%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-05 07:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.33%EV -12.87%E -6.74%K -14.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.65%EV -11.88%E -3.71%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -8.72%E -2.56%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-02 05:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -14.24%E -7.58%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -14.24%E -7.58%K -16.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -9.13%E -2.77%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -14.70%E -7.86%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.40%EV -14.70%E -7.86%K -16.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -10.50%E -3.23%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.33%EV -6.03%E -1.72%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-03 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 45.93%EV -17.44%E -9.63%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.26%EV -16.01%E -5.25%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.82%EV -16.77%E -5.41%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 20.3% | 2026-09-30 22:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 41.88% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 41.88% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 16.24% | 86.6% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 41.88% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 41.88% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 16.24% | 86.6% | 2026-10-05 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 41.88% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 41.88% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 16.24% | 86.6% | 2026-10-05 14:40 |