Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.31
assuming max odds 1.92
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS Turku (Local): 22.70%; FC Inter Turku (Visit): 50.08%; Draw: 27.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.41%EV -2.18%E -0.507%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.31%EV -3.84%E -2.00%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -3.63%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -3.55%E -0.834%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.95%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.35%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -4.68%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.37%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -2.00%E -0.554%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-23 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -4.68%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.99%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -4.68%E -1.11%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.91%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 14:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -4.34%E -2.27%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 14:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.61%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.30%EV -5.85%E -3.11%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -11.86%E -6.74%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -11.86%E -6.74%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -11.86%E -6.74%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -11.86%E -6.74%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -11.86%E -6.74%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -11.86%E -6.74%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -11.86%E -6.74%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 13:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -11.86%E -6.74%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 13:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -6.95%E -1.70%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.56%EV -11.86%E -6.74%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.30%EV -6.08%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 13:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.08I 24.51%NM 22.81%EV -7.40%E -1.81%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.59%EV -7.85%E -4.27%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.60%EV -4.72%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.01I 24.94%NM 23.29%EV -8.99%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.16%EV -4.85%E -2.55%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 27.55%EV -7.71%E -2.28%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-23 14:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.84%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.52%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.18%EV -9.35%E -5.17%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -8.80%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%EV -9.85%E -5.47%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.66%EV -13.86%E -8.06%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.66%EV -13.86%E -8.06%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.13%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -12.36%E -7.06%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -11.52%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-23 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -13.86%E -8.06%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -8.80%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -9.22%E -2.30%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.46%EV -13.86%E -8.06%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.42%EV -8.80%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-23 14:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -7.44%E -2.19%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.55%EV -8.85%E -4.86%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%EV -10.16%E -3.08%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.99%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.99%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.02%EV -12.88%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -11.49%E -2.95%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.83%EV -11.36%E -6.42%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -12.88%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.57%EV -12.62%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -6.35%E -3.39%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.92%EV -11.52%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-23 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.20%EV -12.62%E -3.28%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 51.49%EV -16.86%E -10.16%K -25.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%EV -11.52%E -3.55%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-23 13:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.58%EV -13.76%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.43%EV -7.35%E -3.97%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -12.88%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.76%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.88%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.76%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.88%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.76%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.88%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.76%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.88%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.76%E -3.62%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.70%EV -8.35%E -4.56%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.88%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-23 14:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.00% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50% | 1.0% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.47% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.68% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 14:55 |