L’École des cotes

SJK Seinäjoki v TPS Turku

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 14:00 UTC

Score final : SJK Seinäjoki 3–1 TPS Turku

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Prévision 52.98%1.89cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.66%
Kelly -3.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.21%53.16%52.97%55.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.611.721.731.8362.11%58.04%57.80%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TPS Turku (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.79%4.39cote équitable
EV +1.43%
Avantage +0.322%
Kelly +0.415%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.94%22.67%22.80%23.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.114.104.4526.67%24.32%24.39%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.22%4.13cote équitable
EV -1.90%
Avantage -0.469%
Kelly -0.623%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.32%24.17%24.23%24.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.553.783.804.0528.17%26.49%26.32%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV +1.43%E +0.322%K +0.415%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 05:19
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV +1.43%E +0.322%K +0.415%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 05:19
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.81%EV -0.619%E -0.142%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.84%EV -3.35%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 09:59
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.52%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-03 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.52%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-03 10:00
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -1.99%E -0.462%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-03 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -1.99%E -0.462%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-03 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -9.40%E -5.50%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -3.13%E -0.736%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 10:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -12.58%E -7.62%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -3.13%E -0.736%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 12:25
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.80%EV -1.90%E -0.469%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:45
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -9.40%E -5.50%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 10:50
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -14.70%E -9.13%K -24.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-03 09:59
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.51%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.16%EV -5.41%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 11:10
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.41%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -6.99%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 13:19
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:34
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.87%E -5.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 11:45
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 10:50
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.88%EV -7.00%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.69%EV -8.44%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 13:49
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:35
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:35
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 13:54
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 13:55
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -6.75%E -3.83%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 13:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:40
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:39
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:40
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:40
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 13:04
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 10:50
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -9.96%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.82%EV -12.58%E -7.62%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.64%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-04 13:30
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.38%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 13:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.38%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 13:55
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.38%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 13:55
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 13:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-04 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-07-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-04 13:55