La escuela de los momios

SJK Seinäjoki v TPS Turku

Inicio: 2026-07-04 14:00 UTC

Final: SJK Seinäjoki 3–1 TPS Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Predicción 52.98%1.89momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.66%
Kelly -3.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.21%53.16%52.97%55.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.721.731.8362.11%58.04%57.80%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TPS Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 22.79%4.39momio equitativo
EV +1.43%
Ventaja +0.322%
Kelly +0.415%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.94%22.67%22.80%23.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.114.104.4526.67%24.32%24.39%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.22%4.13momio equitativo
EV -1.90%
Ventaja -0.469%
Kelly -0.623%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.32%24.17%24.23%24.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.553.783.804.0528.17%26.49%26.32%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV +1.43%E +0.322%K +0.415%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 05:19
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 55.47%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.94%EV +1.43%E +0.322%K +0.415%G +0.006%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.59%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-30 05:19
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 54.35%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 21.81%EV -0.619%E -0.142%K -0.184%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.84%EV -3.35%E -0.841%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 10:50
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 09:59
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 54.70%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-03 10:00
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 54.52%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-03 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.52%EV -10.99%E -6.54%K -16.16%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -0.847%E -0.195%K -0.253%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-03 10:00
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -1.99%E -0.462%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-03 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 54.53%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -1.99%E -0.462%K -0.602%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.29%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-03 09:59
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%EV -9.40%E -5.50%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV -3.13%E -0.736%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 10:45
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 54.70%EV -12.58%E -7.62%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.24%EV -3.13%E -0.736%K -0.962%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-04 12:25
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 53.25%EV -4.10%E -2.26%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.95%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.80%EV -1.90%E -0.469%K -0.623%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 13:45
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 12:45
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 53.67%EV -9.40%E -5.50%K -13.23%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-04 10:50
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 54.63%EV -14.70%E -9.13%K -24.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.94%EV -4.27%E -1.02%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.43%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-03 09:59
Coolbet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.51%EV -3.04%E -1.66%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.16%EV -5.41%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 11:10
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.26%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.46%EV -5.41%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.27%EV -6.99%E -1.82%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 13:19
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.20%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 12:34
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 13:54
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -8.87%E -5.16%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 11:45
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.36%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -6.55%E -1.60%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.52%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-04 10:50
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -5.69%E -3.20%K -7.29%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 22.88%EV -7.00%E -1.72%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.69%EV -8.44%E -2.23%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 13:49
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:35
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.47%EV -4.63%E -2.57%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.91%EV -4.32%E -1.09%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 12:35
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 13:54
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 52.57%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -6.75%E -1.75%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 13:55
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -6.22%E -3.51%K -8.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 13:05
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 52.37%EV -6.75%E -3.83%K -8.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 13:55
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:40
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:39
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:40
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-04 12:40
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 52.80%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.36%EV -9.17%E -2.44%K -3.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-04 13:04
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 52.71%EV -9.93%E -5.84%K -14.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.40%EV -8.82%E -2.21%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 10:50
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 52.53%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -9.96%E -2.52%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-04 13:55
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 52.82%EV -12.58%E -7.62%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.64%EV -12.24%E -3.18%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.55%EV -14.01%E -3.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-04 13:30
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.38%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 13:55
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -13.38%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -10.38%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-04 13:55
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -8.34%E -4.82%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -13.38%E -3.52%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 13:55
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 13:05
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -7.28%E -4.16%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.80%E -3.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-04 13:00
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 53.06%EV -11.52%E -6.90%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.63%EV -14.52%E -3.87%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -7.96%E -2.09%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-04 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 53.03%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.66%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%0.3%2026-07-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-04 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.16%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.59%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.25%0.6%2026-07-04 13:55