Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SJK Seinäjoki v KuPS Kuopio

Kickoff: 2026-07-18 14:00 UTC

Final: SJK Seinäjoki 0–2 KuPS Kuopio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Prediction 41.01%2.44fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.79%40.96%40.99%42.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.3647.62%44.19%44.44%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visit)

Prediction 33.06%3.02fair odd
EV +0.839%
Edge +0.275%
Kelly +0.409%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.17%33.09%33.08%34.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.762.753.0540.00%36.29%36.36%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.93%3.86fair odd
EV -0.188%
Edge -0.049%
Kelly -0.066%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.83%25.96%25.94%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.503.8530.30%28.50%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SJK Seinäjoki (Local): 41.01%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 33.06%; Draw: 25.93%. For KuPS Kuopio (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.02. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.839%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.06%EV -7.31%E -3.23%K -5.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.17%EV +0.839%E +0.275%K +0.409%G +0.003%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.78%EV -7.97%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-18 13:55
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21%EV -8.13%E -3.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -0.814%E -0.271%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:55
BetAnything2.24I 44.64%NM 42.21%EV -8.13%E -3.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.52%EV -0.814%E -0.271%K -0.407%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 13:55
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.58%EV -1.81%E -0.608%K -0.917%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.08%EV -3.82%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-18 13:55
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.42%EV -7.31%E -3.23%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.08%EV -6.93%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-18 13:55
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -4.78%E -1.66%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -7.71%E -2.16%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:55
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.67%E -2.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.11%EV -5.77%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -5.37%E -1.47%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-18 13:54
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.77%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:55
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -5.77%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-18 13:55
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.11%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -5.77%E -2.03%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.43%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 13:55
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -6.49%E -2.85%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -6.77%E -2.40%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.97%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:50
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.80%EV -6.49%E -2.85%K -5.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.99%EV -6.77%E -2.40%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.21%EV -7.97%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 13:50
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.82%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.26%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.92%EV -0.188%E -0.049%K -0.066%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-18 13:40
GTbets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.53%EV -3.21%E -1.36%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.16%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.31%EV -2.00%E -0.530%K -0.720%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 13:35
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.67%E -2.47%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-18 13:55
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.08%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 13:34
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-18 13:55
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:55
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:55
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:55
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -7.43%E -2.65%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-18 13:30
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 40.78%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.37%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -7.97%E -2.24%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-18 13:55
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:35
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:54
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-18 13:55
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -9.08%E -3.30%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-18 13:35
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:20
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:20
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:20
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:20
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:20
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:20
betPARX2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:20
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:20
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -10.56%E -3.06%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-18 13:19
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.68%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -6.67%E -1.85%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 13:30
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.38%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.65%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:30
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-18 13:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.77%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-18 13:55
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.82%E -5.50%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 13:30
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.48%EV -11.82%E -5.50%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.73%E -3.98%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-18 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -12.39%E -4.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 13:20
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 38.79%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -12.39%E -4.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-18 13:20
LiveScore Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -4.44%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -12.39%E -4.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:20
Virgin Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 38.99%EV -4.44%E -1.91%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.28%EV -12.39%E -4.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.85%E -3.49%K -4.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-18 13:20
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -13.87%E -6.61%K -12.61%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.67%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -14.45%E -4.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%15.7%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.12%EV -11.82%E -5.50%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -13.05%E -4.96%K -8.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-18 13:45
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.00%EV -7.72%E -3.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.41%EV -15.69%E -6.15%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.59%EV -14.45%E -4.38%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-18 13:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.42%EV -11.82%E -5.50%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -17.35%E -6.94%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.83%EV -9.26%E -2.65%K -3.70%G +0.000%15.1%2026-07-18 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%1.0%2026-07-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-07-18 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-07-18 13:55
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.1%2026-07-18 13:55