Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SJK Seinäjoki v IF Gnistan

Kickoff: 2026-08-07 15:59 UTC

Final: SJK Seinäjoki 2–2 IF Gnistan

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Prediction 47.23%2.12fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.61%47.18%47.24%48.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.981.962.0654.64%50.57%51.02%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IF Gnistan (Visit)

Prediction 28.11%3.56fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.380%
Kelly -0.531%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.13%28.10%28.15%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.223.253.5135.71%31.09%30.77%28.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.66%4.05fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -0.527%
Kelly -0.704%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.43%24.72%24.61%26.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.673.603.9728.99%27.25%27.78%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SJK Seinäjoki (Local): 47.23%; IF Gnistan (Visit): 28.11%; Draw: 24.66%. For IF Gnistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.51, with an expected value of -1.33%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.94%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.22%EV -10.97%E -3.04%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 15:55
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 03:10
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 03:10
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 03:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 03:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 03:10
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 03:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 03:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 03:10
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.71%EV -2.71%E -1.32%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 03:10
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.93%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.35%EV -2.58%E -0.654%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-07 15:25
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.67%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.54%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.79%EV -12.45%E -3.51%K -4.88%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 03:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -3.18%E -1.55%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-07 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.73%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.73%EV -3.66%E -1.79%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.92%EV -14.26%E -4.68%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -4.13%E -2.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -3.02%E -0.875%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.35%EV -2.09%E -0.527%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 14:20
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.62%EV -4.13%E -2.03%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -3.02%E -0.875%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.35%EV -2.09%E -0.527%K -0.704%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 14:20
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.07%EV -5.07%E -2.52%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.53%EV -1.33%E -0.380%K -0.531%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.40%EV -2.34%E -0.590%K -0.790%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-07 15:50
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.25%EV -5.55%E -2.77%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.21%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.54%EV -5.05%E -1.31%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 07:59
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -5.55%E -2.77%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -5.55%E -2.77%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 08:39
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -5.55%E -2.77%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-07 10:50
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.24%EV -6.49%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.27%EV -3.58%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.49%EV -9.49%E -2.59%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -6.49%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.93%EV -6.11%E -1.83%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -7.76%E -2.08%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-07 15:55
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.49%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 15:55
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -6.49%E -3.28%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 15:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.79%EV -7.43%E -3.79%K -7.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.76%EV -17.07%E -5.79%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.45%EV -14.92%E -4.32%K -6.09%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-07 03:10
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 15:50
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-07 10:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-07 15:45
LeoVegas🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 08:40
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 15:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 15:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 15:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -11.45%E -3.64%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-07 15:45
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.49%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.18%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-07 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 10:50
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 10:49
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 10:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.74%EV -7.91%E -4.05%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.77%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.48%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-07 10:50
Bet Right🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.24%EV -8.38%E -4.32%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.05%E -3.14%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-07 15:45
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -8.85%E -4.59%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 15:55
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -8.85%E -4.59%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-07 15:50
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-07 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.83%E -1.74%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-07 15:35
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -9.80%E -5.13%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -12.86%E -4.15%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -7.52%E -2.00%K -2.73%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-07 15:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.40%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -4.42%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.28%E -1.65%K -2.24%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-07 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.62%EV -10.27%E -5.40%K -11.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -21.29%E -7.60%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.43%EV -8.75%E -2.36%K -3.24%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-07 08:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -11.68%E -6.25%K -13.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -7.24%E -2.19%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-07 15:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -12.63%E -6.83%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-07 15:45
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -12.63%E -6.83%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -8.64%E -2.66%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.68%E -3.91%K -5.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-07 15:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -13.57%E -7.42%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -15.67%E -5.22%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -11.22%E -3.12%K -4.31%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-07 10:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-07 15:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-07 15:55
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-08-07 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%1.4%2026-08-07 15:55

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