The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SJK Seinäjoki v FC Lahti

Kickoff: 2026-10-09 15:00 UTC

Final: SJK Seinäjoki 1–0 FC Lahti

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SJK Seinäjoki (Local)

Prediction 36.75%2.72fair odd
EV -2.61%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.97%36.70%36.83%38.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.492.502.6546.51%40.14%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Lahti (Visit)

Prediction 36.65%2.73fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.89%36.80%36.62%39.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6143.48%40.07%40.00%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV +3.75%
Edge +0.961%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.65%26.49%26.56%27.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.453.503.9031.25%28.97%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SJK Seinäjoki (Local): 36.75%; FC Lahti (Visit): 36.65%; Draw: 26.60%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.76. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.75%.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.27%EV -2.61%E -0.986%K -1.58%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.08%EV -9.85%E -4.00%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV +3.75%E +0.961%K +1.29%G +0.048%4.0%2026-09-23 12:00
FanDuel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 15:15
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-23 00:24
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -12.04%E -5.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 15:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -12.04%E -5.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-27 11:10
GTbets🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.85%EV -5.92%E -2.31%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.57%EV -5.45%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.58%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-03 00:10
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-02 13:22
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 15:14
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -4.71%E -1.81%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-05 06:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.02%E -2.78%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.05%EV -8.01%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 11:25
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 36.76%EV -7.02%E -2.78%K -4.59%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.05%EV -8.01%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 11:29
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 15:25
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 15:25
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 15:24
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 15:24
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.29%E -2.47%K -4.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-02 15:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 15:02
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-02 17:54
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 01:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 15:05
Pinnacle🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.22%EV -3.35%E -1.27%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.49%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.29%EV -7.16%E -2.05%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-23 13:10
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.59%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-05 06:55
LeoVegas🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-02 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.53%EV -6.18%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 15:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -4.45%E -1.71%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.53%EV -6.18%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-05 15:05
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-02 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-02 15:09
Coral🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-02 15:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -9.96%E -4.07%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-02 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-04 01:45
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.96%EV -12.04%E -5.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-05 10:29
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 06:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 06:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 06:55
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.13%E -3.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-04 07:00
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -10.94%E -4.50%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-02 15:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -10.94%E -4.50%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-02 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -10.94%E -4.50%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-02 15:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -10.70%E -4.40%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -10.94%E -4.50%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-02 15:24
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 36.28%EV -12.54%E -5.27%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.55%EV -15.71%E -6.83%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.17%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-27 05:44
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -11.80%E -4.92%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -12.78%E -5.37%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-02 05:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.95%EV -20.99%E -9.76%K -18.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.89%EV -12.04%E -5.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.17%EV -14.87%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%19.4%2026-09-30 22:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 41.61%1.29I 77.52%NM 41.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 16.78%86.3%2026-10-05 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 41.61%1.29I 77.52%NM 41.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 16.78%86.3%2026-10-05 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.29I 77.52%NM 41.61%1.29I 77.52%NM 41.61%3.20I 31.25%NM 16.78%86.3%2026-10-05 13:35