The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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PK-35 v Jaro

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 15:32 UTC

Final: PK-35 1–1 Jaro

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

PK-35 (Local)

Prediction 29.13%3.43fair odd
EV -0.972%
Edge -0.286%
Kelly -0.405%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.02%29.17%29.06%30.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.083.003.4035.09%32.47%33.33%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jaro (Visit)

Prediction 39.55%2.53fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.15%39.43%39.55%40.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.312.302.4546.73%43.34%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.32%3.19fair odd
EV -5.10%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.29%31.40%31.40%32.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.912.953.0335.71%34.33%33.96%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PK-35 (Local): 29.13%; Jaro (Visit): 39.55%; Draw: 31.32%. For PK-35 (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.43. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -0.972%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -0.972%E -0.286%K -0.405%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.54%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.44%EV -5.10%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-21 15:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.13%EV -8.24%E -3.55%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.66%EV -7.92%E -2.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 15:15
GTbets🎯3.26I 30.67%NM 28.78%EV -5.05%E -1.55%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.13%EV -8.54%E -2.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-21 12:25
Bovada🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 15:24
BetUS🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.18%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.88%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-21 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-21 12:25
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%EV -5.86%E -2.46%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-21 15:25
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -6.80%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -5.07%E -2.11%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 15:24
NordicBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.80%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.38%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.70%EV -8.54%E -2.93%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-21 15:25
LeoVegas🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.05%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-21 12:45
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -7.05%E -3.00%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.73%E -3.77%K -5.80%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-21 15:25
betano_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-21 15:10
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.04%E -2.01%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-21 15:10
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -9.03%E -3.93%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-21 15:25
Sky Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -9.71%E -3.13%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-21 15:15
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 15:25
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -3.10%E -1.26%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-21 15:25
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-21 11:40
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-21 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-21 11:40
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-21 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-21 11:40
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-21 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-21 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-21 11:40
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -7.60%E -2.58%K -3.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-21 11:40
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -11.01%E -4.89%K -8.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -9.79%E -3.40%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-21 13:15
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -14.08%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -11.80%E -5.29%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-21 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -14.08%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.61%EV -11.80%E -5.29%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.46%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-21 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -14.08%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -12.98%E -5.90%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-21 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.78%EV -14.08%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.93%EV -12.98%E -5.90%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -9.17%E -3.16%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-21 11:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 29.85%EV -16.99%E -5.96%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 39.76%EV -15.36%E -7.18%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.39%EV -12.30%E -4.39%K -6.83%G +0.000%17.5%2026-10-21 11:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%0.1%2026-10-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.45I 28.99%NM 28.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.71%0.1%2026-10-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-10-21 15:25