Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio v VPS Vaasa

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 14:00 UTC

Final: KuPS Kuopio 3–1 VPS Vaasa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 44.02%2.27fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.62%44.15%44.00%46.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.092.082.2050.76%47.91%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visit)

Prediction 29.23%3.42fair odd
EV +3.76%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.47%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.09%29.13%29.19%30.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.163.203.5534.48%31.60%31.25%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.75%3.74fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.279%
Kelly -0.382%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.82%26.72%26.81%27.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.403.373.7030.77%29.44%29.67%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 44.02%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 29.23%; Draw: 26.75%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.76%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.91%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.09%EV +3.76%E +1.06%K +1.47%G +0.055%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.99%EV -1.03%E -0.279%K -0.382%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 13:05
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.91%EV -3.15%E -1.43%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -2.97%E -0.893%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.99%EV -4.24%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 13:50
GTbets🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.09%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.21%EV -3.84%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.70%EV -3.71%E -1.03%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-25 13:20
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:50
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:50
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:45
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:45
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.19%EV -7.11%E -3.37%K -6.40%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.78%EV -5.30%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 13:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 13:55
BetAnything🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -4.03%E -1.85%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.03%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 13:55
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 13:10
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 13:40
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 13:58
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-25 13:59
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:45
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.72%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-25 13:35
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.21%EV -8.43%E -4.05%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 13:40
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -8.87%E -4.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.15%EV -8.87%E -4.28%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.56%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-25 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -9.31%E -4.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.27%EV -9.31%E -4.52%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -6.47%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 13:45
1xBet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.68%EV -3.59%E -1.64%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.58%EV -7.64%E -2.42%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.74%EV -9.86%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-25 13:59
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -5.35%E -2.49%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -7.93%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 13:20
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.18%EV -7.93%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-25 13:35
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.93%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.72%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-25 13:10
Everygame🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.19%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.76%EV -7.93%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -10.39%E -3.10%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-25 13:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-25 13:10
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 13:39
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 13:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -6.38%E -1.82%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 13:55
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 13:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 13:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 13:10
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-25 13:10
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-25 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 13:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.73%E -3.56%K -5.10%G +0.000%12.6%2026-07-25 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.61%EV -13.27%E -6.74%K -13.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.35%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-25 13:50
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.75%E -4.76%K -9.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-25 13:25
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 13:10
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 13:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -7.55%E -3.59%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -13.07%E -4.02%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-25 13:15
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -11.95%E -5.98%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -15.24%E -5.26%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -9.06%E -2.66%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-07-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-07-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-07-25 13:55
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.96%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.67%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.37%1.1%2026-07-25 13:50