Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio v VPS Vaasa

2026-10-18 12:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 54.02%1.85fair odd
EV -7.63%
Edge -4.46%
Kelly -10.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.61%54.02%54.02%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.661.681.7165.79%60.33%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visit)

Prediction 21.22%4.71fair odd
EV -8.75%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.15%21.22%21.22%21.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.234.304.3025.64%23.66%23.26%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.76%4.04fair odd
EV -5.92%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.00%24.76%24.76%24.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.653.703.8028.99%27.38%27.03%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 54.02%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 21.22%; Draw: 24.76%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.80, with an expected value of -5.92%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.61%EV -7.63%E -4.46%K -10.74%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 21.62%EV -10.02%E -2.36%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.77%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-11 12:35
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 12:19
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:19
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:19
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:20
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.21%EV -9.25%E -5.50%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.18%EV -8.75%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-11 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.02%EV -10.87%E -6.59%K -16.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.76%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.17%EV -11.41%E -6.96%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 12:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.17%EV -11.41%E -6.96%K -17.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.15%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.68%EV -10.87%E -3.02%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 12:19
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.13%EV -15.19%E -9.67%K -26.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.24%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.63%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%17.7%2026-10-11 12:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 54.64%EV -17.89%E -11.77%K -34.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.29%EV -17.23%E -4.42%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.07%EV -14.58%E -4.23%K -5.95%G +0.000%20.4%2026-10-11 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.