Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio v VPS Vaasa

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 11:59 UTC

Final: KuPS Kuopio 2–0 VPS Vaasa

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 59.51%1.68fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -6.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.49%59.49%59.65%61.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.551.551.6170.42%64.48%64.52%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

VPS Vaasa (Visit)

Prediction 17.31%5.78fair odd
EV +2.13%
Edge +0.362%
Kelly +0.435%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 5.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.29%17.33%17.25%18.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.165.005.9021.05%19.36%20.00%16.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.18%4.31fair odd
EV +0.842%
Edge +0.194%
Kelly +0.251%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.10%23.18%23.11%24.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.883.904.3528.57%25.79%25.64%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 59.51%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 17.31%; Draw: 23.18%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.61%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.29%EV +2.13%E +0.362%K +0.435%G +0.009%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.10%EV +0.842%E +0.194%K +0.251%G +0.002%4.0%2026-10-18 06:05
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.96%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.77I 17.33%NM 16.69%EV -0.117%E -0.020%K -0.025%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.35%EV -0.085%E -0.020%K -0.026%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-18 11:55
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.53%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 16.68%EV -3.23%E -0.578%K -0.704%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 22.79%EV -5.19%E -1.27%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 11:54
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.06%EV -4.27%E -0.772%K -0.943%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.00%EV -8.89%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 02:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 11:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 11:39
DraftKings🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 04:15
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 11:45
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.94%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 11:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -5.98%E -3.78%K -10.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-15 12:05
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.09%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.79%E -0.871%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -4.95%E -1.21%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 11:54
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.98%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.06%EV -5.66%E -1.04%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.96%EV -6.11%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 05:10
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -6.52%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.11%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 04:14
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.89%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.19%EV -6.52%E -1.21%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.92%EV -6.11%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 04:09
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.68%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.48%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.34%EV -8.25%E -1.56%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 11:54
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.19%E -2.60%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 06:55
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.43%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.55%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-18 09:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.92%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.51%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.57%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-18 07:10
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.25%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.49%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -8.43%E -2.13%K -2.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 08:59
Bet Right🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-18 07:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 07:15
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 08:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.39%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.31%EV -9.12%E -1.74%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.30%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-18 08:59
Bovada🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -4.79%E -2.99%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -9.98%E -1.92%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 05:34
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 08:55
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 08:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 08:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.26%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 08:55
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -6.57%E -4.19%K -11.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 07:30
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.55%E -6.28%K -18.36%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -7.27%E -1.82%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 11:54
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 07:30
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 07:30
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 07:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 07:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 07:29
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 07:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 07:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.68%EV -7.17%E -4.60%K -12.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -14.23%E -3.84%K -5.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-18 07:30
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.65%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -15.39%E -4.22%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 07:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.65%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -15.39%E -4.22%K -5.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 07:30
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.07%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 02:39
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -8.95%E -5.85%K -16.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -13.07%E -3.48%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 03:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -10.74%E -7.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -9.59%E -2.46%K -3.31%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-18 11:54
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.74%E -7.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 09:04
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -10.74%E -7.16%K -21.48%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -13.45%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 05:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.60%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.10%EV -15.18%E -3.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -15.39%E -4.22%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 07:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.60%EV -8.36%E -5.43%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.10%EV -15.18%E -3.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.30%EV -15.39%E -4.22%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 07:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 59.18%EV -15.50%E -10.92%K -36.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.15%EV -15.18%E -3.10%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.67%EV -17.70%E -4.99%K -6.94%G +0.000%19.0%2026-10-18 11:34
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.91%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 06:55
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.91%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 06:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.91%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 06:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.78%EV -7.76%E -5.01%K -14.12%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.66%EV -16.91%E -3.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.57%EV -11.91%E -3.13%K -4.25%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 06:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 57.49%EV -11.33%E -7.61%K -23.13%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.03%EV -17.77%E -3.74%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -18.86%E -5.39%K -7.55%G +0.000%16.7%2026-10-18 07:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-10-18 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-10-18 11:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-10-18 11:50
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.73%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.50%1.0%2026-10-18 11:45