Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio v HJK Helsinki

2026-09-13 12:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KuPS Kuopio (Local)

Prediction 39.97%2.50fair odd
EV -8.86%
Edge -3.89%
Kelly -6.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.97%39.97%39.97%41.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.242.282.2847.62%44.60%43.86%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HJK Helsinki (Visit)

Prediction 33.01%3.03fair odd
EV -6.57%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -3.59%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.49%33.01%33.01%33.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.722.752.8338.46%36.73%36.36%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.01%3.70fair odd
EV -6.81%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -2.78%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.20%27.01%27.01%27.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.403.4531.25%29.72%29.41%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KuPS Kuopio (Local): 39.97%; HJK Helsinki (Visit): 33.01%; Draw: 27.01%. For HJK Helsinki (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.83, with an expected value of -6.57%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -8.86%E -3.89%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -8.86%E -3.89%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:05
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -8.86%E -3.89%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -8.86%E -3.89%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -8.86%E -3.89%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:05
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -8.86%E -3.89%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:05
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -8.86%E -3.89%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -8.86%E -3.89%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -8.86%E -3.89%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -8.16%E -2.40%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:05
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.86%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.49%EV -6.57%E -2.32%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:25
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.06%E -4.47%K -8.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -9.21%E -3.35%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.81%E -1.97%K -2.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -10.86%E -4.87%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 12:05
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.97%EV -10.86%E -4.87%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.01%EV -10.86%E -4.02%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 12:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -12.06%E -5.48%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 12:05
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 40.13%EV -14.46%E -6.76%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.03%EV -14.16%E -5.45%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.84%EV -13.56%E -4.24%K -6.16%G +0.000%16.4%2026-09-06 12:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -16.06%E -7.65%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.63%EV -12.51%E -4.72%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -10.86%E -3.29%K -4.72%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-06 12:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.