Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro v SJK Seinäjoki

Kickoff: 2026-09-12 16:00 UTC

Final: Jaro 1–1 SJK Seinäjoki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro (Local)

Prediction 26.77%3.73fair odd
EV +1.47%
Edge +0.389%
Kelly +0.528%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.86%26.80%29.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.7932.26%29.53%29.41%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SJK Seinäjoki (Visit)

Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV +0.859%
Edge +0.392%
Kelly +0.722%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.85%45.96%46.01%47.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.002.1953.19%50.00%50.00%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.17%3.68fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -0.918%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.18%27.19%28.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.363.353.5631.75%29.79%29.85%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 26.77%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visit): 46.05%; Draw: 27.17%. For Jaro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.47%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.79I 26.39%NM 25.53%EV +1.47%E +0.389%K +0.528%G +0.008%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.21%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-12 15:55
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.31%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.14%EV -6.51%E -3.21%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:46
Marathon Bet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.19%EV -4.68%E -1.32%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.39%EV -7.43%E -3.70%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-12 15:41
BetOnline.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:45
LowVig.ag🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:05
BetUS🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:45
BetAnything🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -5.13%E -2.49%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-12 15:46
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -8.81%E -4.45%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:20
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.06%EV -4.95%E -1.40%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.73%EV -8.81%E -4.45%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-12 14:19
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 14:20
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.90%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-12 14:20
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:40
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:40
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 15:49
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.29%E -1.80%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-12 15:53
GTbets🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.38%EV -7.63%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.54%EV -3.27%E -0.918%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-12 14:20
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -7.63%E -2.21%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.70%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.97%EV -4.21%E -2.02%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-12 15:45
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.13%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -6.26%E -1.81%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-12 14:20
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 14:20
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-12 15:15
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -8.81%E -4.45%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -8.97%E -2.64%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 15:16
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +0.859%E +0.392%K +0.722%G +0.006%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -3.54%E -0.997%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.78%EV -5.59%E -2.73%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-12 15:45
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.39%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -8.97%E -2.68%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-12 14:20
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.62%E -2.24%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-12 14:20
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -7.89%E -3.95%K -7.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.01%EV -13.05%E -4.08%K -5.93%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-12 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-12 15:46
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -11.65%E -3.53%K -5.06%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.22%EV -11.58%E -6.03%K -12.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.89%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-12 15:45
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -12.98%E -4.00%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.64%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-12 14:20
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.58%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.26%EV -10.19%E -5.23%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.16%EV -11.69%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-12 14:20
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -14.32%E -4.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.96%EV -12.04%E -6.30%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.33%E -3.13%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-12 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.52%EV -17.00%E -5.48%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.39%EV -13.42%E -7.14%K -15.25%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.09%EV -14.41%E -4.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%17.2%2026-09-12 14:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.10%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.35%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.55%0.8%2026-09-12 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 25.99%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-09-12 15:50