The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Jaro v PK-35

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro (Local)

Prediction 53.42%1.87fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.75%53.32%53.52%54.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.701.8362.50%58.48%58.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

PK-35 (Visit)

Prediction 19.76%5.06fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.278%
Kelly -0.347%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.99%19.84%19.72%21.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.634.634.9923.26%21.58%21.62%20.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.82%3.73fair odd
EV -1.58%
Edge -0.430%
Kelly -0.592%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.17%26.84%26.76%27.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.353.6731.25%29.59%29.85%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 53.42%; PK-35 (Visit): 19.76%; Draw: 26.82%. For PK-35 (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.99, with an expected value of -1.39%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.49%EV -2.24%E -1.22%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.34%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.17%EV -1.58%E -0.430%K -0.592%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 11:31
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -3.84%E -2.14%K -4.81%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.46%EV -14.03%E -3.23%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.75%EV -5.45%E -3.08%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.30%EV -15.02%E -3.49%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 11:45
Bovada🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 11:44
BetUS🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -5.98%E -3.40%K -7.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.95%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.79%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 11:45
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.52%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 11:45
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -6.52%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 11:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.14%EV -6.52%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.44%EV -10.08%E -2.22%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -5.60%E -1.59%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 11:35
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.52%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 11:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.52%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 11:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.52%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.52%E -3.72%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.91%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 11:40
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.46%EV -7.05%E -4.05%K -9.53%G +0.000%4.99I 20.04%NM 18.99%EV -1.39%E -0.278%K -0.347%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.55%EV -4.26%E -1.19%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 11:55
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.62%EV -7.58%E -4.38%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-25 11:48
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.52%EV -8.12%E -4.72%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.80%EV -8.10%E -1.74%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-25 11:45
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.42%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.99%EV -3.16%E -0.646%K -0.811%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -6.14%E -1.75%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 11:55
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.00%EV -8.65%E -5.06%K -12.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.24%EV -5.14%E -1.07%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.76%EV -7.48%E -2.17%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-25 11:55
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -9.19%E -5.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.26%EV -6.13%E -1.29%K -1.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.82%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 11:55
Sky Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.19%E -5.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -12.84%E -3.95%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.42%EV -9.19%E -5.40%K -13.12%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.58%EV -14.43%E -3.33%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 11:49
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:45
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:45
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:45
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:45
betPARX🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -10.25%E -6.10%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.23%EV -7.12%E -1.51%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.98%EV -10.16%E -3.03%K -4.32%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 20:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.50%EV -10.79%E -6.46%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-25 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.27%EV -10.79%E -6.46%K -16.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-25 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.65%EV -11.32%E -6.82%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-24 20:50
BetRivers🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.65%EV -11.32%E -6.82%K -17.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-24 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.80%EV -11.86%E -7.19%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-24 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.80%EV -11.86%E -7.19%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.30%EV -9.09%E -1.98%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -11.50%E -3.49%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-24 20:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.89%EV -14.53%E -9.08%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.16%EV -11.07%E -2.46%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.95%EV -14.18%E -4.43%K -6.45%G +0.000%16.0%2026-10-24 20:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 54.02%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-10-25 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.16%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-10-25 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.16%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-10-25 11:55