La scuola delle quote

Jaro v HJK Helsinki

Inizio: 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC

Finale: Jaro 2–5 HJK Helsinki

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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51 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jaro (Casa)

Previsione 17.99%5.56quota equa
EV +0.581%
Vantaggio +0.104%
Kelly +0.127%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
16.73%17.98%18.08%19.43%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.605.055.005.5921.74%19.81%20.00%17.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

HJK Helsinki (Trasferta)

Previsione 60.00%1.67quota equa
EV -2.20%
Vantaggio -1.35%
Kelly -3.50%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.66%59.96%59.87%61.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.541.551.6369.44%64.77%64.52%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.01%4.54quota equa
EV +0.362%
Vantaggio +0.079%
Kelly +0.102%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.10%22.06%22.05%24.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.704.094.004.5627.03%24.47%25.00%21.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle5.59I 17.89%NM 17.21%EV +0.581%E +0.104%K +0.127%G +0.001%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.68%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.10%EV +0.362%E +0.079%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 13:51
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -1.04%E -0.189%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 13:40
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.04%E -0.189%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 13:50
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -2.84%E -0.526%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.00%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 13:50
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -2.84%E -0.526%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.00%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.84%E -0.526%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:20
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.84%E -0.526%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:20
Marathon Bet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -3.74%E -0.699%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -8.80%E -5.79%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 13:50
1xBet5.33I 18.76%NM 17.55%EV -4.10%E -0.769%K -0.946%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.14%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.31%EV -3.38%E -0.770%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-13 13:50
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 13:50
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -18.57%E -5.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-13 13:50
Coolbet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.02%EV -2.20%E -1.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -4.26%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 13:40
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:51
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 12:50
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -5.80%E -3.70%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 13:49
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -5.80%E -3.70%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 13:50
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 13:50
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-13 13:20
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-13 13:51
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.94%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 12:50
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.94%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 12:50
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.94%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 12:50
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 13:50
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 13:50
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 13:50
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-13 12:30
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-13 13:40
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -13.60%E -9.45%K -30.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-13 13:40
Betr (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -11.83%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 13:50
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.93%EV -11.83%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.96%EV -10.60%E -7.12%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -16.36%E -4.31%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-13 12:50
GTbets4.89I 20.45%NM 19.20%EV -12.01%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.33%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.47%EV -8.00%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 13:40
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -14.53%E -3.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.70%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 12:30
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -14.53%E -3.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -15.43%E -3.28%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.60%E -7.12%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-13 13:50
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 13:41
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-13 13:48
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-06-13 13:51