L’École des cotes

Jaro v HJK Helsinki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 14:00 UTC

Score final : Jaro 2–5 HJK Helsinki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jaro (Local)

Prévision 17.99%5.56cote équitable
EV +0.581%
Avantage +0.104%
Kelly +0.127%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 5.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.73%17.98%18.08%19.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.605.055.005.5921.74%19.81%20.00%17.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

HJK Helsinki (Visiteur)

Prévision 60.00%1.67cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -3.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.66%59.96%59.87%61.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.551.6369.44%64.77%64.52%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.01%4.54cote équitable
EV +0.362%
Avantage +0.079%
Kelly +0.102%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.10%22.06%22.05%24.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.704.094.004.5627.03%24.47%25.00%21.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle5.59I 17.89%NM 17.21%EV +0.581%E +0.104%K +0.127%G +0.001%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.68%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 21.10%EV +0.362%E +0.079%K +0.102%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 13:51
FanDuel5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -1.04%E -0.189%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.20%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 13:40
Tipico (DE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -1.04%E -0.189%K -0.231%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 13:50
BetOnline.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -2.84%E -0.526%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.00%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 13:50
LowVig.ag5.40I 18.52%NM 17.51%EV -2.84%E -0.526%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.00%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.49%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Betsson5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.84%E -0.526%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:20
NordicBet5.40I 18.52%NM 17.29%EV -2.84%E -0.526%K -0.645%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.08%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.63%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:20
Marathon Bet5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -3.74%E -0.699%K -0.859%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -8.80%E -5.79%K -16.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 13:50
1xBet5.33I 18.76%NM 17.55%EV -4.10%E -0.769%K -0.946%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.14%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.31%EV -3.38%E -0.770%K -0.997%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-13 13:50
DraftKings5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.54%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -3.16%E -0.718%K -0.929%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 13:50
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.22%EV -5.54%E -1.05%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.34%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -18.57%E -5.02%K -6.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-13 13:50
Coolbet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.86%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.02%EV -2.20%E -1.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.12%EV -4.26%E -0.979%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 13:40
TABtouch5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:51
betPARX5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Casumo5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Unibet (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Unibet (NL)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Grosvenor5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Svenska Spel5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
ATG (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
Unibet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-13 12:50
BetRivers5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)5.10I 19.61%NM 17.92%EV -8.24%E -1.61%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.95%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 12:50
Unibet (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.25%EV -5.20%E -3.29%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -6.46%E -1.52%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Bovada5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -5.80%E -3.70%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 13:49
BetUS5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.56%EV -5.80%E -3.70%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -5.36%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 13:50
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-13 13:50
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -6.40%E -4.10%K -11.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-13 13:20
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Bet Victor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.55%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.76%E -2.38%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-13 13:51
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.94%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 12:50
LeoVegas5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.94%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 12:50
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 58.90%EV -7.60%E -4.94%K -14.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.96%EV -13.06%E -3.31%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 12:50
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 13:50
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 13:50
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-13 13:50
SportsBet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-13 12:30
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.7%2026-06-13 13:40
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -10.03%E -2.01%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -13.60%E -9.45%K -30.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-06-13 13:40
Betr (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV -11.83%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 58.69%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.9%2026-06-13 13:50
PMU (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.93%EV -11.83%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 58.96%EV -10.60%E -7.12%K -21.64%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -16.36%E -4.31%K -5.84%G +0.000%13.8%2026-06-13 12:50
GTbets4.89I 20.45%NM 19.20%EV -12.01%E -2.46%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.33%EV -3.40%E -2.11%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.47%EV -8.00%E -1.91%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-13 13:40
Betway4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -14.53%E -3.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -5.80%E -3.70%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 12:30
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -14.53%E -3.06%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -10.00%E -6.67%K -20.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -7.56%E -1.80%K -2.36%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Unibet (FR)4.70I 21.28%NM 18.76%EV -15.43%E -3.28%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.19%EV -10.60%E -7.12%K -21.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.05%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-06-13 13:50
Coral4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -7.00%E -4.52%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -14.16%E -3.63%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 13:41
betfred_uk4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-13 13:48
Neds4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)4.60I 21.74%NM 19.39%EV -17.23%E -3.75%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -8.20%E -5.36%K -15.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.30%EV -11.96%E -2.99%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Matchbook6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.37%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.10%0.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.76%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.20%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.04%1.1%2026-06-13 13:51