Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro v AC Oulu

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Final: Jaro 0–1 AC Oulu

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jaro (Local)

Prediction 26.26%3.81fair odd
EV -0.220%
Edge -0.058%
Kelly -0.078%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%26.42%26.15%28.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.403.403.8033.33%29.40%29.41%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AC Oulu (Visit)

Prediction 48.02%2.08fair odd
EV -0.121%
Edge -0.058%
Kelly -0.112%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.53%47.84%48.06%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.941.932.0854.95%51.65%51.81%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.72%3.89fair odd
EV -0.966%
Edge -0.251%
Kelly -0.339%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.96%25.74%25.79%26.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.503.8530.30%28.33%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaro (Local): 26.26%; AC Oulu (Visit): 48.02%; Draw: 25.72%. For AC Oulu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.083. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.080, with an expected value of -0.121%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -0.220%E -0.058%K -0.078%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -12.13%E -6.63%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:55
Pinnacle🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.87%EV -1.80%E -0.480%K -0.655%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.61%EV -4.44%E -2.23%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.52%EV -2.51%E -0.662%K -0.899%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-22 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.85%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -7.32%E -3.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.85%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -7.32%E -3.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:54
BetAnything🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -2.85%E -0.769%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -7.32%E -3.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 13:54
1xBet🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.37%EV -3.11%E -0.842%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.27%EV -8.76%E -4.61%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.37%EV -5.08%E -1.38%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:54
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.92%EV -4.16%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.51%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 13:55
GTbets🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.06%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.50%EV -7.91%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:54
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 13:39
BetUS🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:54
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.20%E -5.46%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:54
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -5.47%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.69%EV -10.20%E -5.46%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.05%EV -6.00%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.32%EV -7.32%E -3.79%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -6.37%E -1.75%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:50
Bovada🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.78%E -1.91%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -6.11%E -1.67%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-22 13:58
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -4.82%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 12:38
LeoVegas🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.03%EV -7.80%E -4.06%K -8.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 13:55
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:55
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.81%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:54
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -8.10%E -2.31%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.02%EV -12.61%E -6.93%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.49%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 13:55
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.02%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.88%EV -8.68%E -2.45%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-22 12:40
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 12:40
Betway🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -7.40%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 12:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 12:25
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 12:25
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.72%E -3.15%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 12:25
Coolbet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.73%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.27%EV -0.121%E -0.058%K -0.112%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.00%EV -0.966%E -0.251%K -0.339%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 12:10
NordicBet🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.00%E -1.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.26%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 12:50
Betsson🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -12.04%E -3.59%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.69%EV -3.00%E -1.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -11.26%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 12:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.36%E -3.26%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 12:40
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -8.28%E -4.34%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-22 12:40
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 47.60%EV -10.20%E -5.46%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.43%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 12:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.35%E -4.05%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -11.16%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-22 13:50
PlayUp🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -4.92%E -2.49%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 13:39
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.13%EV -14.66%E -4.51%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.67%EV -11.16%E -6.04%K -13.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 12:40
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:05
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:10
Grosvenor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:05
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:05
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -3.96%E -1.98%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 08:09
BoyleSports🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.30%EV -15.97%E -4.99%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.74%EV -12.13%E -6.63%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -9.97%E -2.85%K -3.99%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-22 13:59
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -17.29%E -5.49%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.91%EV -6.84%E -3.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -11.26%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.27%EV -17.29%E -5.49%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.91%EV -6.84%E -3.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.82%EV -11.26%E -3.26%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 08:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -6.84%E -3.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 08:05
LiveScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -18.60%E -6.00%K -8.86%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -6.84%E -3.53%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.54%E -3.69%K -5.23%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-22 08:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.53%EV -21.23%E -7.08%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.53%EV -9.72%E -5.17%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.94%EV -15.11%E -4.58%K -6.57%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-22 08:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-08-22 13:50
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.36%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.96%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-08-22 13:55