L’École des cotes

Ilves Tampere v TPS Turku

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 12:00 UTC

Score final : Ilves Tampere 1–0 TPS Turku

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prévision 52.21%1.92cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -3.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.94%52.24%52.42%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.781.801.8659.88%56.18%55.56%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

TPS Turku (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.98%4.35cote équitable
EV +2.24%
Avantage +0.504%
Kelly +0.651%
Croissance +0.015%

avec la cote maximale 4.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.61%22.98%22.79%24.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.943.904.4527.78%25.40%25.64%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.82%4.03cote équitable
EV +0.508%
Avantage +0.126%
Kelly +0.167%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.55%24.79%24.79%26.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.633.604.0532.26%27.53%27.78%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -8.12%E -4.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.61%EV +2.24%E +0.504%K +0.651%G +0.015%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV +0.508%E +0.126%K +0.167%G +0.001%4.0%2026-06-13 11:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.35%E -0.553%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 08:40
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.35%E -0.553%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 08:40
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.89%EV -3.04%E -0.720%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.33%EV -1.48%E -0.372%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-13 11:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.50%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.45%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 11:40
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.50%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 11:30
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.50%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-13 11:40
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 11:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 11:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 11:39
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 11:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -11.25%E -6.62%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.42%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-13 08:40
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.75%EV -2.90%E -1.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.25%EV -6.72%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.00%EV -9.91%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 11:20
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.95%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 11:48
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.35%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.25%EV -7.41%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 11:50
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-13 11:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-13 08:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:31
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:30
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 08:50
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:51
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.68%E -5.60%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-13 11:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 11:20
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -11.25%E -6.62%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-13 11:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:29
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:20
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-13 11:31
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-07 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-07 00:19
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-07 00:20
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-07 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-07 00:19
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -7.07%E -3.97%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 08:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -9.68%E -5.60%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.68%E -5.60%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-13 11:40
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.84%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 08:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -12.81%E -7.67%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.84%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-13 11:20
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.33%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.13%EV -16.14%E -4.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -14.38%E -4.17%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-07 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.94%EV -12.81%E -7.67%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -17.29%E -4.80%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.90%EV -23.07%E -7.44%K -10.98%G +0.000%19.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-06-13 11:51