La escuela de los momios

Ilves Tampere v TPS Turku

Inicio: 2026-06-13 12:00 UTC

Final: Ilves Tampere 1–0 TPS Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Predicción 52.21%1.92momio equitativo
EV -2.90%
Ventaja -1.56%
Kelly -3.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.94%52.24%52.42%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.781.801.8659.88%56.18%55.56%53.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

TPS Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 22.98%4.35momio equitativo
EV +2.24%
Ventaja +0.504%
Kelly +0.651%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.61%22.98%22.79%24.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.943.904.4527.78%25.40%25.64%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.82%4.03momio equitativo
EV +0.508%
Ventaja +0.126%
Kelly +0.167%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.55%24.79%24.79%26.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.633.604.0532.26%27.53%27.78%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -8.12%E -4.61%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.61%EV +2.24%E +0.504%K +0.651%G +0.015%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV +0.508%E +0.126%K +0.167%G +0.001%4.0%2026-06-13 11:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.35%E -0.553%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 08:40
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.06%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -2.35%E -0.553%K -0.723%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 08:40
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 52.78%EV -4.46%E -2.44%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.89%EV -3.04%E -0.720%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.33%EV -1.48%E -0.372%K -0.497%G +0.000%3.5%2026-06-13 11:50
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.74%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -3.50%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.45%E -1.16%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 11:40
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -3.50%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 11:30
BetUS1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -3.50%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-13 11:40
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 11:40
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 11:20
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 11:39
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 11:20
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%EV -11.25%E -6.62%K -16.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%EV -9.42%E -2.58%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-13 08:40
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.75%EV -2.90%E -1.56%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.25%EV -6.72%E -1.65%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.00%EV -9.91%E -2.73%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 11:20
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.03%EV -6.95%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 11:48
1xBet1.79I 55.87%NM 52.35%EV -6.55%E -3.66%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.25%EV -7.41%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 11:50
Bovada1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-13 11:40
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -8.18%E -2.21%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-13 08:50
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:31
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:30
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:30
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:30
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 08:50
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-13 11:51
Everygame1.73I 57.80%NM 52.50%EV -9.68%E -5.60%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.22%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-13 11:40
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 11:20
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.32%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-13 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.04%EV -11.25%E -6.62%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-13 11:40
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:29
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:20
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:20
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:19
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -4.98%E -2.74%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -11.54%E -3.00%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-07 00:20
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 51.77%EV -7.59%E -4.29%K -9.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -5.70%E -1.50%K -2.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-13 11:31
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-07 00:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -5.51%E -3.04%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-07 00:19
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-07 00:20
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-07 00:19
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.49%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.91%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -11.90%E -3.35%K -4.67%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-07 00:19
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -7.07%E -3.97%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.3%2026-06-13 08:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -9.68%E -5.60%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.66%E -2.96%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 51.29%EV -9.68%E -5.60%K -13.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.7%2026-06-13 11:40
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -6.03%E -3.35%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.84%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -13.14%E -3.75%K -5.26%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-13 08:50
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 52.89%EV -12.81%E -7.67%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -13.84%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.55%EV -6.94%E -1.85%K -2.52%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-13 11:20
PMU (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 50.33%EV -8.64%E -4.94%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.13%EV -16.14%E -4.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.53%EV -14.38%E -4.17%K -5.87%G +0.000%13.5%2026-06-07 00:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 49.94%EV -12.81%E -7.67%K -19.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.16%EV -17.29%E -4.80%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.90%EV -23.07%E -7.44%K -10.98%G +0.000%19.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-06-13 11:40
Matchbook1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-06-13 11:51