The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Ilves Tampere v SJK Seinäjoki

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 11:01 UTC

Final: Ilves Tampere 2–0 SJK Seinäjoki

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prediction 49.24%2.03fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%49.40%49.24%51.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.851.851.9558.82%54.13%54.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SJK Seinäjoki (Visit)

Prediction 26.72%3.74fair odd
EV -1.14%
Edge -0.308%
Kelly -0.422%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.91%26.57%26.78%27.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.483.483.7031.25%28.76%28.74%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.04%4.16fair odd
EV +4.56%
Edge +1.05%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.062%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.09%24.03%23.97%25.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.763.734.3528.99%26.61%26.85%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ilves Tampere (Local): 49.24%; SJK Seinäjoki (Visit): 26.72%; Draw: 24.04%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -1.14%E -0.308%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV +4.56%E +1.05%K +1.36%G +0.062%4.1%2026-10-17 07:50
Pinnacle🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.52%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.05%EV -4.61%E -1.29%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.44%EV -0.968%E -0.235%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-17 10:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.85%E -0.963%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 10:45
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -3.85%E -0.963%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-17 10:45
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -3.85%E -0.963%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-17 10:30
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.79%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.46%EV -4.09%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-17 10:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.49%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.89%EV -7.55%E -2.18%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.62%EV -5.29%E -1.34%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-17 10:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 10:38
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-17 10:35
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-17 10:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -6.26%E -1.60%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 09:39
GTbets🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.01%EV -4.47%E -2.30%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.48%EV -4.08%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.51%EV -6.74%E -1.74%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-17 09:45
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.91%EV -9.39%E -5.10%K -11.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -7.46%E -1.94%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-17 09:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.56%EV -4.96%E -2.57%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-17 10:40
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.51%EV -6.93%E -3.67%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.37%EV -10.49%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.13%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 10:50
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 10:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.65%EV -10.38%E -5.70%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -8.66%E -2.28%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 09:40
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.94%E -3.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.48%E -1.85%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 08:08
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.22%EV -6.44%E -3.39%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -10.49%E -3.13%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-17 10:44
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 10:43
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.81%EV -7.91%E -4.23%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-17 10:45
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 10:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 10:35
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-17 10:35
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.35%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -9.86%E -2.63%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-17 09:40
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -2.48%E -0.679%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 14:10
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -2.48%E -0.679%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 14:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -2.48%E -0.679%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 14:10
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -2.48%E -0.679%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 14:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -2.48%E -0.679%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -2.48%E -0.679%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -2.48%E -0.679%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -2.48%E -0.679%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 14:09
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.36%E -6.31%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.91%EV -2.48%E -0.679%K -0.935%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.57%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-13 14:09
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.83%E -3.58%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-17 10:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.60%EV -9.88%E -5.40%K -11.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.36%EV -13.16%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.04%EV -11.06%E -2.99%K -4.10%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 10:50
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.17%EV -3.97%E -2.04%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 10:45
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -12.84%E -7.25%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-13 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -12.84%E -7.25%K -16.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-13 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.56%EV -13.33%E -7.57%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-13 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 50.56%EV -13.33%E -7.57%K -17.54%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -12.27%E -3.36%K -4.63%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-13 14:09
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.21%EV -5.45%E -2.84%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -5.15%E -1.45%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.71%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 10:45
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.42%E -3.95%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 10:45
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 08:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.59%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -9.16%E -2.69%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-17 08:09
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -8.90%E -4.81%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -13.16%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-17 10:55
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.39%EV -13.82%E -7.90%K -18.43%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.60%EV -13.16%E -4.05%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -13.47%E -3.74%K -5.18%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-17 10:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 50.54%EV -16.28%E -9.58%K -23.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.91%EV -7.82%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.55%EV -15.87%E -4.53%K -6.35%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-13 14:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.41%EV -16.28%E -9.58%K -23.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.25%EV -14.50%E -4.53%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.35%EV -17.07%E -4.95%K -6.97%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-17 10:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.40%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.53%1.2%2026-10-17 10:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-10-17 10:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-10-17 10:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.92%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-10-17 10:55