语言:简体中文
Ilves Tampere v IFK Mariehamn
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ilves Tampere (主队)
预测 72.94%1.37公平赔率
EV -5.90%
优势 -4.58%
Kelly -20.35%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.29
博彩公司预测分布
70.51%72.99%72.98%75.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.261.271.2981.97%79.11%78.74%77.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
IFK Mariehamn (客队)
预测 10.89%9.18公平赔率
EV +6.77%
优势 +0.690%
Kelly +0.769%
增长率 +0.052%
假设最高赔率为 9.80
博彩公司预测分布
9.60%10.85%10.93%12.29%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.008.448.509.8014.29%11.86%11.76%10.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 16.16%6.19公平赔率
EV +5.05%
优势 +0.777%
Kelly +0.918%
增长率 +0.046%
假设最高赔率为 6.50
博彩公司预测分布
14.79%16.16%16.09%17.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.605.506.5020.00%17.86%18.18%15.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ilves Tampere (主队)：72.94%；IFK Mariehamn (客队)：10.89%；平局：16.16%。 对于“IFK Mariehamn (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为9.18。 当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为9.80，对应+6.77%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.90%E -4.58%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +6.77%E +0.690%K +0.769%G +0.052% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.73%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 12:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.96%EV -5.90%E -4.58%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.60%EV +6.77%E +0.690%K +0.769%G +0.052% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -12.73%E -2.36%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-03 12:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.09%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +3.50%E +0.368%K +0.412%G +0.014% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.79%EV +5.05%E +0.777%K +0.918%G +0.046% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 09:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.57%EV -9.55%E -7.70%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.43%EV -4.67%E -0.534%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.00%EV -7.88%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.36%EV -5.90%E -4.58%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.00%EV -6.31%E -0.733%K -0.830%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.64%EV -2.22%E -0.368%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-03 04:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.90%E -4.58%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -7.40%E -0.870%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 12:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.90%E -4.58%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -7.40%E -0.870%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 13:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.90%E -4.58%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -7.40%E -0.870%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.13%EV -5.90%E -4.58%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -7.40%E -0.870%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-03 12:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -7.36%E -5.80%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.870%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.45%EV -7.36%E -5.80%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.82%EV -7.40%E -0.870%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-03 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.34%EV -9.55%E -7.70%K -39.79%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -7.40%E -0.870%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.96%EV -7.88%E -1.38%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-02 14:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.01%E -9.02%K -50.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -7.40%E -0.870%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.01%E -9.02%K -50.04%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -7.40%E -0.870%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-02 15:03 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.18%K -23.68%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.57%EV -12.84%E -1.61%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.07%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-03 04:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.13%EV -8.09%E -6.42%K -31.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -12.84%E -1.61%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.36%EV -3.03%E -0.505%K -0.606%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-03 17:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -8.82%E -7.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -12.84%E -1.61%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -11.11%E -2.02%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-02 14:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 72.25%EV -8.82%E -7.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.04%EV -18.29%E -2.44%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.71%EV -7.07%E -1.23%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-03 04:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.90%EV -8.82%E -7.06%K -35.28%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.22%EV -21.01%E -2.90%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.88%EV -15.15%E -2.89%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-03 06:48 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 70.51%EV -11.01%E -9.02%K -50.04%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.29%EV -23.74%E -3.39%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -19.19%E -3.84%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 35.30% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 32.21% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.49% | 172.4% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 35.30% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 32.21% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.49% | 172.4% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 35.30% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 32.21% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 32.49% | 172.4% | 2026-08-03 15:55 |