L’École des cotes

Ilves Tampere v FC Inter Turku

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 15:00 UTC

Score final : Ilves Tampere 1–3 FC Inter Turku

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Prévision 29.47%3.39cote équitable
EV +1.69%
Avantage +0.489%
Kelly +0.689%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.85%29.28%29.51%30.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.173.203.4534.72%31.59%31.25%28.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Inter Turku (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.95%2.33cote équitable
EV -3.79%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -3.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.72%43.14%42.80%44.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.962.112.102.2451.02%47.42%47.62%44.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.57%3.63cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -0.998%
Kelly -1.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.91%27.58%27.69%29.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.323.353.5034.72%30.10%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV +1.69%E +0.489%K +0.689%G +0.012%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 13:59
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.06%EV -1.85%E -0.555%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.21%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 13:59
GTbets3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -1.85%E -0.555%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.48%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 14:00
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.73%E -0.828%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 08:10
BetUS3.28I 30.49%NM 28.53%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.94%EV -8.51%E -4.00%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 11:59
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.23%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 13:59
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.23%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 13:59
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 13:57
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 14:00
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 14:00
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 14:00
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 13:59
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 14:00
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 14:00
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 14:00
1xBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.20%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.41%EV -5.08%E -2.30%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 14:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 13:59
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.59%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 13:58
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 08:09
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 08:10
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 14:00
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 12:09
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 12:09
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -15.81%E -8.07%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 14:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 13:58
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 13:59
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 14:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 14:00
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 13:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 13:58
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 13:59
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 13:59
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -10.10%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 13:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 12:09
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 13:59
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 14:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 13:59
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -14.10%E -7.05%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-20 13:59
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-20 14:00
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -15.11%E -5.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.10%E -7.05%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -20.59%E -7.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-20 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-05-20 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-20 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-20 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-20 14:00