La escuela de los momios

Ilves Tampere v FC Inter Turku

Inicio: 2026-05-20 15:00 UTC

Final: Ilves Tampere 1–3 FC Inter Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ilves Tampere (Local)

Predicción 29.47%3.39momio equitativo
EV +1.69%
Ventaja +0.489%
Kelly +0.689%
Crecimiento +0.012%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.85%29.28%29.51%30.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.173.203.4534.72%31.59%31.25%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Inter Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 42.95%2.33momio equitativo
EV -3.79%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.72%43.14%42.80%44.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.112.102.2451.02%47.42%47.62%44.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.57%3.63momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -0.998%
Kelly -1.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.91%27.58%27.69%29.07%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.323.353.5034.72%30.10%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.85%EV +1.69%E +0.489%K +0.689%G +0.012%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.49%E -0.998%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 13:59
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.06%EV -1.85%E -0.555%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.21%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.73%EV -3.77%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 13:59
GTbets3.33I 30.03%NM 28.60%EV -1.85%E -0.555%K -0.793%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.48%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -5.97%E -1.75%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 14:00
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.73%E -0.828%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 08:10
BetUS3.28I 30.49%NM 28.53%EV -3.32%E -1.01%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.94%EV -8.51%E -4.00%K -7.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.53%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-20 11:59
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.23%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 13:59
BetAnything3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.23%EV -3.79%E -1.69%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 13:59
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 13:57
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 14:00
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 14:00
TABtouch3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Unibet (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Svenska Spel3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
ATG (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 14:00
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 13:59
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.18%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.89%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 13:59
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 14:00
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 14:00
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -4.21%E -1.29%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.71%EV -12.38%E -6.07%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.23%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-20 14:00
1xBet3.21I 31.15%NM 29.20%EV -5.39%E -1.68%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.41%EV -5.08%E -2.30%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.40%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 14:00
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 13:59
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.15%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.59%EV -5.94%E -2.71%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 13:58
Neds3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 08:09
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -5.68%E -1.78%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 08:10
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-20 14:00
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 12:09
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -6.37%E -2.92%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 12:09
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.27%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.94%EV -15.81%E -8.07%K -16.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.10%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-20 14:00
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 13:58
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 13:59
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.63%E -2.28%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-20 14:00
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.51%E -2.50%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 14:00
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 13:59
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 13:58
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.25%E -1.84%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-20 13:59
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 13:59
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.63%E -2.78%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-20 13:59
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -10.10%E -3.31%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-20 13:59
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -7.65%E -3.56%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 12:09
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 13:59
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 14:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -9.01%E -2.73%K -3.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 13:59
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.09%EV -11.58%E -3.86%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.64%EV -14.10%E -7.05%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.27%EV -11.77%E -3.68%K -5.35%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-20 13:59
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -9.80%E -4.67%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-20 14:00
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -14.52%E -5.01%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.95%E -5.83%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -10.39%E -3.20%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-20 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -15.11%E -5.25%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.10%E -7.05%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -20.59%E -7.15%K -10.95%G +0.000%19.4%2026-05-20 13:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%0.8%2026-05-20 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-20 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-20 13:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-05-20 14:00