Language:English
IFK Mariehamn v Ilves Tampere
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Mariehamn (Local)
Prediction 30.47%3.28fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.880%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.45%30.50%30.48%31.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.003.003.1935.71%33.35%33.33%31.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ilves Tampere (Visit)
Prediction 44.04%2.27fair odd
EV -3.11%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.25%44.08%44.10%45.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.862.082.082.2053.76%48.15%48.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.49%3.92fair odd
EV -0.325%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.112%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%25.41%25.42%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.543.503.9129.85%28.21%28.57%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Mariehamn (Local): 30.47%; Ilves Tampere (Visit): 44.04%; Draw: 25.49%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.92. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.91, with an expected value of -0.325%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.31%EV -2.81%E -0.880%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.97%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.91I 25.58%NM 24.73%EV -0.325%E -0.083%K -0.112%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.45%EV -3.11%E -0.979%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.03%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.52%EV -6.44%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 15:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.01%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.69%EV -3.11%E -1.41%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.30%EV -3.13%E -0.824%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 15:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -4.87%E -2.26%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.49%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -9.50%E -2.68%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -5.55%E -1.79%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.51%EV -6.77%E -2.21%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.25%EV -7.08%E -3.35%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.24%EV -5.68%E -1.53%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -5.31%E -2.47%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 15:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.07%E -2.32%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -6.63%E -3.13%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-10 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.40%E -1.17%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-10 15:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.19%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.55%EV -8.40%E -4.04%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -12.05%E -3.49%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.60%E -2.87%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.12%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.72%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.15%EV -6.95%E -1.91%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.52%E -3.58%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -10.16%E -4.98%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.12%E -3.43%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.64%EV -10.16%E -4.98%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -11.64%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -11.64%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 15:43 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.64%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.64%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.64%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.64%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -13.33%E -3.92%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-10 15:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.50%EV -11.64%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.23%EV -11.92%E -5.96%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.27%EV -10.78%E -3.08%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.64%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.25%EV -10.16%E -4.98%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -14.60%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.42%EV -11.64%E -4.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.25%EV -10.16%E -4.98%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.33%EV -14.60%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -12.25%E -4.25%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -9.72%E -4.74%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 29.56%EV -13.17%E -4.62%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 45.29%EV -18.09%E -9.72%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.15%EV -14.60%E -4.36%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-10-10 15:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.12%EV -14.69%E -5.25%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.68%EV -14.12%E -7.24%K -14.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.20%EV -8.23%E -2.29%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-10-10 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 1.5% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 1.5% | 2026-10-10 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 1.5% | 2026-10-10 15:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.30% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.77% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.93% | 1.5% | 2026-10-10 15:55 |