Language:English
IF Gnistan v TPS Turku
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IF Gnistan (Local)
Prediction 46.78%2.14fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -1.76%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.44%46.80%46.76%48.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.961.952.0655.25%51.12%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
TPS Turku (Visit)
Prediction 28.59%3.50fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.393%
Kelly -0.553%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.60%28.59%28.66%29.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.223.203.4533.33%31.02%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.63%4.06fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -0.627%
Kelly -0.839%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.96
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.62%24.61%24.58%25.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.693.653.9628.99%27.13%27.40%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Gnistan (Local): 46.78%; TPS Turku (Visit): 28.59%; Draw: 24.63%. For TPS Turku (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.45, with an expected value of -1.36%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.88%EV -3.63%E -1.76%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.74%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.38%EV -2.48%E -0.627%K -0.839%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 15:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.16%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.61%EV -5.19%E -1.35%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -4.10%E -2.00%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.22%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.22%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.57%E -2.24%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.38%EV -4.22%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.07%EV -5.50%E -2.72%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.55%EV -4.79%E -1.44%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.38%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.81%EV -5.97%E -2.97%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.86%EV -1.36%E -0.393%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.73%E -0.691%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.59%EV -5.97%E -2.97%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.90%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.51%EV -5.93%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-31 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.07%E -2.18%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 15:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.84%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -10.79%E -3.46%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 15:49 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.84%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.38%EV -10.79%E -3.46%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-31 15:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -6.44%E -3.22%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-31 15:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.84%EV -6.90%E -3.47%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.77%EV -7.36%E -2.27%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -5.93%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.84%EV -7.37%E -3.72%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -7.37%E -3.72%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -4.22%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.71%EV -7.37%E -3.72%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -4.22%E -1.26%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-31 13:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.43%EV -7.37%E -3.72%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.78%EV -7.37%E -3.72%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.33%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-31 15:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -8.31%E -4.24%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.78%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.23%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.11%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -6.42%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.60%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.93%E -3.15%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.56%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.16%EV -8.78%E -4.50%K -9.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -13.81%E -3.95%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -10.18%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -10.18%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -10.18%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -10.18%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -10.18%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -10.18%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 13:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -10.18%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -10.18%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.44%EV -10.18%E -5.30%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.60%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.96%EV -10.12%E -2.77%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -10.65%E -5.57%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -7.65%E -2.04%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-31 14:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -10.65%E -5.57%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.90%EV -10.65%E -5.57%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.21%EV -8.88%E -2.40%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -10.65%E -5.57%K -11.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-31 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -11.11%E -5.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.64%E -1.71%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -3.96%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -11.11%E -5.85%K -12.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-08-31 15:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -12.05%E -6.41%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.58%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.23%EV -12.05%E -6.41%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.75%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%EV -12.58%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -12.52%E -6.69%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.58%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.37%EV -12.52%E -6.69%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -8.50%E -2.66%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -12.58%E -3.54%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.21%EV -14.39%E -7.86%K -17.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.80%EV -14.22%E -4.74%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -11.35%E -3.15%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-08-31 14:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.43%EV -15.33%E -8.47%K -18.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.69%EV -11.36%E -3.67%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 24.88%EV -15.04%E -4.36%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-08-31 14:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 15:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 15:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.57% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.04% | 1.5% | 2026-08-31 15:55 |