L’École des cotes

IF Gnistan v SJK Seinäjoki

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 14:02 UTC

Score final : IF Gnistan 3–2 SJK Seinäjoki

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prévision 35.69%2.80cote équitable
EV -0.774%
Avantage -0.278%
Kelly -0.435%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.60%35.54%35.66%36.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.592.602.7842.02%38.62%38.46%35.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SJK Seinäjoki (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.70%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.464%
Kelly -0.751%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.24%37.81%37.71%39.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.412.402.6244.44%41.47%41.67%38.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.60%3.76cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -1.02%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.60%26.66%26.62%28.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.443.483.6234.72%29.05%28.78%27.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -0.774%E -0.278%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -10.27%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:00
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -1.84%E -0.671%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.23%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 13:58
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.57%EV -2.20%E -0.803%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.67%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 13:59
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.09%EV -4.34%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.97%E -0.758%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%EV -3.70%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 13:59
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -12.15%E -5.21%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 13:56
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -12.15%E -5.21%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -12.53%E -5.40%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -12.53%E -5.40%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -12.53%E -5.40%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -1.22%E -0.464%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:00
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -1.22%E -0.464%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 13:59
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:59
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 14:00
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 13:59
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 13:59
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 13:59
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -7.91%E -3.07%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:00
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -7.91%E -3.07%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:00
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.51%EV -8.63%E -3.37%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.11%EV -4.76%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 14:00
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:59
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 14:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 13:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 13:59
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -15.17%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-30 14:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 14:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 14:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.27%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.27%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.27%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 14:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 14:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 13:58
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -12.55%E -5.12%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -15.17%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-30 13:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -14.34%E -5.97%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -23.38%E -8.12%K -12.44%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-30 14:00
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -15.05%E -6.32%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.66%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.66%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.56%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-05-30 14:00