La escuela de los momios

IF Gnistan v SJK Seinäjoki

Inicio: 2026-05-30 14:02 UTC

Final: IF Gnistan 3–2 SJK Seinäjoki

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Predicción 35.69%2.80momio equitativo
EV -0.774%
Ventaja -0.278%
Kelly -0.435%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.60%35.54%35.66%36.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.592.602.7842.02%38.62%38.46%35.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SJK Seinäjoki (Visitante)

Predicción 37.70%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.22%
Ventaja -0.464%
Kelly -0.751%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.24%37.81%37.71%39.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.412.402.6244.44%41.47%41.67%38.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.60%3.76momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -1.02%
Kelly -1.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.60%26.66%26.62%28.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.443.483.6234.72%29.05%28.78%27.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 33.60%EV -0.774%E -0.278%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -10.27%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.15%EV -8.48%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-30 14:00
Coolbet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.92%EV -1.84%E -0.671%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.41%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.67%EV -4.23%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 13:58
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 34.57%EV -2.20%E -0.803%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.67%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.76%EV -5.82%E -1.65%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 13:59
Pinnacle2.68I 37.31%NM 36.09%EV -4.34%E -1.62%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -1.97%E -0.758%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.72%EV -3.70%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-30 13:59
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Grosvenor2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
TABtouch2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet (NL)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-30 14:00
BetRivers2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -12.15%E -5.21%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 13:56
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.55%EV -5.41%E -2.04%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.29%EV -12.15%E -5.21%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-30 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -12.53%E -5.40%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
Virgin Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -12.53%E -5.40%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.53%EV -6.13%E -2.33%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.15%EV -12.53%E -5.40%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
BetOnline.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -1.22%E -0.464%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 14:00
LowVig.ag2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -1.22%E -0.464%K -0.751%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 13:59
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 14:00
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.65%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.83%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:59
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 14:00
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.51%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-30 13:59
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 14:00
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 13:59
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 13:59
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 14:00
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.20%E -2.77%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 13:59
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -7.91%E -3.07%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:00
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.08%EV -7.91%E -3.07%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.94%EV -4.99%E -1.98%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -8.22%E -2.38%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-30 14:00
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.51%EV -8.63%E -3.37%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.38%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.11%EV -4.76%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 14:00
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-30 13:59
SportsBet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 14:00
Bet Victor2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-30 13:59
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -11.40%E -4.85%K -8.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -6.89%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 13:59
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 34.55%EV -8.98%E -3.52%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.15%EV -15.17%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.30%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-30 14:00
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -5.74%E -2.30%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-30 14:00
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 36.14%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.88%EV -7.63%E -3.11%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.97%EV -10.88%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-30 14:00
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.27%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.27%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -10.27%E -4.31%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-30 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 14:00
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.84%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.81%EV -10.64%E -4.49%K -7.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-30 14:00
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 13:58
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -10.77%E -4.31%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -9.51%E -3.96%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-30 14:00
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.32%EV -12.55%E -5.12%K -8.66%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.46%EV -15.17%E -6.74%K -12.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.22%EV -12.21%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-30 13:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 34.76%EV -14.34%E -5.97%K -10.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.27%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.97%EV -23.38%E -8.12%K -12.44%G +0.000%19.9%2026-05-30 14:00
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.57%EV -15.05%E -6.32%K -10.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -13.28%E -5.77%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.60%EV -9.55%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.93%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.28%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.66%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.66%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.55%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-05-30 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.56%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.72%1.2%2026-05-30 14:00