StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IF Gnistan v KuPS Kuopio

Matchstart: 2026-09-08 16:01 UTC

Slutresultat: IF Gnistan 1–1 KuPS Kuopio

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IF Gnistan (Hemma)

Prognos 25.08%3.99rättvist odds
EV +2.82%
Fördel +0.687%
Kelly +0.909%
Tillväxt +0.026%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.23%25.02%25.16%26.69%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.653.604.1030.30%27.41%27.78%24.39%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

KuPS Kuopio (Borta)

Prognos 49.41%2.02rättvist odds
EV -4.15%
Fördel -2.14%
Kelly -4.42%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.94

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
47.58%49.44%49.43%51.93%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.721.851.851.9458.14%54.02%54.05%51.55%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 25.52%3.92rättvist odds
EV -0.488%
Fördel -0.125%
Kelly -0.168%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.63%25.54%25.40%26.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.563.603.9029.41%28.07%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: IF Gnistan (Hemma): 25.08%; KuPS Kuopio (Borta): 49.41%; Oavgjort: 25.52%. För IF Gnistan (Hemma) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.99. 2 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.10, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +2.82%.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV +2.82%E +0.687%K +0.909%G +0.026%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -0.488%E -0.125%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 06:45
1xBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.23%EV +0.811%E +0.202%K +0.269%G +0.002%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.32%EV -10.08%E -5.54%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.45%EV -6.36%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 15:55
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -0.944%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 15:30
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -0.944%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 15:29
Pinnacle🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.60%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.09%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -2.53%E -0.662%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 15:55
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -2.95%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.84%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 15:55
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -6.62%E -3.50%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 15:28
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 15:33
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.07%E -6.15%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 15:54
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.07%E -6.15%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -4.15%E -2.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -4.15%E -2.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 15:30
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 14:50
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 14:55
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 15:55
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 15:55
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 15:30
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 15:05
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 15:55
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:39
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 14:50
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 15:30
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.79%EV -11.56%E -6.46%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 08:40
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.79%EV -11.56%E -6.46%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -12.06%E -6.77%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -12.06%E -6.77%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 14:45
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.13%E -3.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 14:45
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.07%E -6.15%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -14.74%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 12:49
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.74%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.13%E -3.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -14.74%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 49.71%EV -15.02%E -8.73%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-07 08:39
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -17.24%E -5.23%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 13:18
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-09-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-09-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-09-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-09-08 15:55