Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Gnistan v KuPS Kuopio

Início: 2026-09-08 16:01 UTC

Final: IF Gnistan 1–1 KuPS Kuopio

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IF Gnistan (Local)

Previsão 25.08%3.99odd justa
EV +2.82%
Vantagem +0.687%
Kelly +0.909%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.23%25.02%25.16%26.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.653.604.1030.30%27.41%27.78%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

KuPS Kuopio (Visitante)

Previsão 49.41%2.02odd justa
EV -4.15%
Vantagem -2.14%
Kelly -4.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.58%49.44%49.43%51.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.851.851.9458.14%54.02%54.05%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.52%3.92odd justa
EV -0.488%
Vantagem -0.125%
Kelly -0.168%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.63%25.54%25.40%26.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.563.603.9029.41%28.07%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IF Gnistan (Local): 25.08%; KuPS Kuopio (Visitante): 49.41%; Empate: 25.52%. Para IF Gnistan (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.99. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.82%.

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV +2.82%E +0.687%K +0.909%G +0.026%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.93%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.63%EV -0.488%E -0.125%K -0.168%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-08 06:45
1xBet🎯4.02I 24.88%NM 23.23%EV +0.811%E +0.202%K +0.269%G +0.002%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.32%EV -10.08%E -5.54%K -12.29%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.45%EV -6.36%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-08 15:55
Betsson🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -0.944%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 15:30
NordicBet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.55%EV -0.944%E -0.239%K -0.320%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.48%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -11.97%E -3.47%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-08 15:29
Pinnacle🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.60%EV -1.45%E -0.368%K -0.493%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.09%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.31%EV -2.53%E -0.662%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-08 15:55
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 24.85%EV -2.95%E -0.762%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.84%EV -4.65%E -2.41%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -3.04%E -0.800%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-08 15:55
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.71%E -1.24%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.45%EV -6.62%E -3.50%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 15:28
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -6.87%E -1.88%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 15:33
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.07%E -6.15%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 15:54
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -5.96%E -1.59%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -11.07%E -6.15%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-08 15:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -6.21%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -6.61%E -1.81%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-08 15:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -4.15%E -2.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 15:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.68%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.98%EV -4.15%E -2.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-08 15:55
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 15:30
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-08 14:50
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.03%EV -7.61%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 14:55
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 15:55
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 15:55
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 15:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-08 15:55
PlayUp🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -7.21%E -1.95%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-08 15:30
DraftKings🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.74%EV -8.47%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%EV -4.32%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-08 15:05
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.74%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-08 15:55
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-08 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:39
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-07 08:40
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 14:50
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 15:30
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.72%E -2.70%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-08 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.79%EV -11.56%E -6.46%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 08:40
BetRivers🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 49.79%EV -11.56%E -6.46%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.11%EV -9.42%E -2.65%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-07 08:39
LiveScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -12.06%E -6.77%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.98%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.75%EV -12.06%E -6.77%K -15.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-07 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -5.63%E -2.95%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-08 14:45
Bet Right🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.13%E -3.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-08 14:45
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.52%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.11%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-08 15:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.16%EV -12.23%E -3.49%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 48.93%EV -11.07%E -6.15%K -13.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.90%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 15:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -14.74%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.19%EV -7.12%E -3.78%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -8.14%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-08 12:49
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -14.74%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -6.13%E -3.22%K -6.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-08 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -14.74%E -4.33%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 49.71%EV -15.02%E -8.73%K -20.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%EV -13.25%E -3.90%K -5.52%G +0.000%17.0%2026-09-07 08:39
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -17.24%E -5.23%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -10.69%E -3.06%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-08 13:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.41%0.9%2026-09-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-09-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-09-08 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.35%1.1%2026-09-08 15:55