Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.70
assuming max odds 2.01
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Gnistan (Local): 26.90%; KuPS Kuopio (Visit): 48.18%; Draw: 24.93%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.01. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.20%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.30%EV -5.32%E -1.51%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.27%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.43%EV +2.20%E +0.536%K +0.709%G +0.016% | 4.1% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -0.480%E -0.130%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -7.02%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.94%EV +0.453%E +0.113%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 15:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -0.480%E -0.130%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -7.02%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.94%EV +0.453%E +0.113%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 15:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -0.480%E -0.130%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -7.02%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.94%EV +0.453%E +0.113%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 15:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -0.480%E -0.130%K -0.178%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.99%EV -7.02%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.94%EV +0.453%E +0.113%K +0.150%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-08-01 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.20%EV -0.749%E -0.203%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.33%EV -5.57%E -2.84%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.48%EV -1.54%E -0.390%K -0.522%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.63%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.49%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.88%EV -5.28%E -1.39%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-01 15:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -4.51%E -1.27%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.60%EV -3.17%E -1.58%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.76I 26.60%NM 25.45%EV -6.28%E -1.67%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-01 15:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.53%E -1.74%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-01 15:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.47%E -2.17%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -7.27%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 15:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 26.79%EV -6.13%E -1.76%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.94%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-01 15:46 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.61%E -2.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.61%E -2.33%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -5.86%E -1.67%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.76%EV -8.95%E -4.73%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.91%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-01 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-01 15:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -3.17%E -0.880%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.66%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -7.77%E -2.10%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 15:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -7.50%E -3.91%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.02%E -2.47%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.41%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.09%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.54%E -3.37%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.54%E -3.37%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.54%E -3.37%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.54%E -3.37%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.54%E -3.37%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.54%E -3.37%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.54%E -3.37%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.34%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.21%EV -6.54%E -3.37%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -7.02%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -9.89%E -2.95%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.34%EV -7.02%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.55%E -2.51%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.98%E -4.18%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.02%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.15%EV -7.02%E -3.64%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-01 14:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.47%E -4.46%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 15:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.47%E -4.46%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-01 15:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.16%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.94%EV -9.91%E -5.30%K -11.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -19.31%E -6.44%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.01%EV -7.50%E -3.91%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-01 15:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.13%EV -16.62%E -5.36%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.65%EV -11.84%E -6.47%K -14.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.22%EV -10.26%E -2.85%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-01 15:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -12.58%E -3.87%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -6.06%E -3.11%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -11.24%E -3.41%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -12.76%E -3.65%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-01 15:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.34%EV -13.93%E -4.35%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.30%EV -10.87%E -5.88%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.36%EV -14.00%E -4.06%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-01 14:49 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.48% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.69% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83% | 0.7% | 2026-08-01 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.97% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-08-01 15:45 |
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