L’École des cotes

IF Gnistan v FC Lahti

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-17 18:02 UTC

Score final : IF Gnistan 1–0 FC Lahti

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prévision 38.24%2.62cote équitable
EV -2.11%
Avantage -0.825%
Kelly -1.35%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.35%38.41%38.21%40.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.402.402.5645.45%41.71%41.67%39.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Lahti (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.28%2.92cote équitable
EV +2.84%
Avantage +0.947%
Kelly +1.42%
Croissance +0.040%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.03%34.15%34.32%34.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.703.0040.00%37.13%37.04%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.48%3.64cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -0.688%
Kelly -0.957%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.63%27.44%27.47%29.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.323.303.5535.71%30.16%30.30%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV +2.84%E +0.947%K +1.42%G +0.040%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -2.44%E -0.688%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 17:59
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV -2.11%E -0.825%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-17 17:59
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.41%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:59
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.41%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 18:00
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.41%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:59
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.31%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.04%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 17:59
GTbets2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -5.55%E -2.25%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.03%EV -5.04%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.81%EV -6.84%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 17:59
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 17:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 17:59
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:01
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:01
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:01
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:01
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.07%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.21%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 17:59
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.17%E -2.08%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.76%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 18:01
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.17%E -2.08%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.76%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 18:00
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 17:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 17:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 18:01
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.52%EV -9.38%E -3.96%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 18:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 18:00
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 17:46
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 18:01
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 18:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-17 17:59
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-17 17:59
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.84%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 18:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 17:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 18:00
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 17:59
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 17:59
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-17 17:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 18:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 17:59
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 17:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.38%E -3.96%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.38%E -3.96%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-17 18:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-17 17:59
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -12.82%E -5.62%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.72%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-17 18:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-17 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.51%EV -15.88%E -7.22%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.01%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.47%EV -23.05%E -8.23%K -12.81%G +0.000%21.2%2026-06-17 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.42%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.37%0.1%2026-06-17 18:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-06-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-06-17 18:00
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-06-17 18:01