La escuela de los momios

IF Gnistan v FC Lahti

Inicio: 2026-06-17 18:02 UTC

Final: IF Gnistan 1–0 FC Lahti

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Predicción 38.24%2.62momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -1.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.35%38.41%38.21%40.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.402.402.5645.45%41.71%41.67%39.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Lahti (Visitante)

Predicción 34.28%2.92momio equitativo
EV +2.84%
Ventaja +0.947%
Kelly +1.42%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.03%34.15%34.32%34.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.692.703.0040.00%37.13%37.04%33.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.48%3.64momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -0.688%
Kelly -0.957%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.63%27.44%27.47%29.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.323.303.5535.71%30.16%30.30%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV +2.84%E +0.947%K +1.42%G +0.040%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -2.44%E -0.688%K -0.957%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-17 17:59
Pinnacle2.56I 39.06%NM 37.83%EV -2.11%E -0.825%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.01%E -1.43%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -3.54%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-17 17:59
LowVig.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.41%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:59
BetOnline.ag2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.41%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 18:00
BetAnything2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.41%E -1.76%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-17 17:59
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.31%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -4.70%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.04%EV -4.91%E -1.42%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 17:59
GTbets2.47I 40.49%NM 38.16%EV -5.55%E -2.25%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.03%EV -5.04%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.81%EV -6.84%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-17 17:59
BetUS2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 17:59
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-17 17:59
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:01
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:01
Grosvenor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
TABtouch2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:01
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:01
ATG (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -5.73%E -2.08%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Marathon Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.03%EV -6.07%E -2.22%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.92%EV -8.21%E -2.46%K -3.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 17:59
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.17%E -2.08%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.76%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 18:01
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.71%EV -5.17%E -2.08%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.38%EV -6.76%E -2.48%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -7.94%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 18:00
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 17:59
DraftKings2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -3.81%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-17 18:00
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 17:59
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.04%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 17:59
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-17 18:01
SportsBet2.37I 42.19%NM 38.52%EV -9.38%E -3.96%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.5%2026-06-17 18:00
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 18:00
BetRivers2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 17:46
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 18:01
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.72%EV -7.44%E -2.76%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-17 18:00
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 37.98%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.40%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-17 17:59
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.14%E -4.32%K -7.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -9.16%E -3.46%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-17 17:59
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -9.84%E -3.74%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-17 18:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 17:59
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 18:00
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 17:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.32%E -2.58%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-17 17:59
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.56%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 17:59
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.03%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.54%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-17 17:59
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 38.84%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.09%EV -10.18%E -3.89%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-06-17 18:00
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.23%E -3.43%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.31%E -2.82%K -4.05%G +0.000%10.4%2026-06-17 17:59
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 17:59
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.2%2026-06-17 17:59
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.38%E -3.96%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-17 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.38%E -3.96%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -10.69%E -3.29%K -4.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-17 18:00
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.41%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.98%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.61%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%13.2%2026-06-17 17:59
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -12.82%E -5.62%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.72%EV -10.87%E -4.18%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -13.43%E -4.26%K -6.25%G +0.000%14.1%2026-06-17 18:00
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.06%E -3.77%K -5.48%G +0.000%14.7%2026-06-17 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 37.51%EV -15.88%E -7.22%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.01%EV -14.30%E -5.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.47%EV -23.05%E -8.23%K -12.81%G +0.000%21.2%2026-06-17 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.42%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.21%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.37%0.1%2026-06-17 18:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-06-17 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.39%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.51%1.0%2026-06-17 18:00
Matchbook2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.43%1.3%2026-06-17 18:01