L’École des cotes

IF Gnistan v FC Inter Turku

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-05 16:00 UTC

Score final : IF Gnistan 2–0 FC Inter Turku

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prévision 20.22%4.94cote équitable
EV -1.72%
Avantage -0.353%
Kelly -0.445%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.13%20.22%20.15%21.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.474.404.8623.81%22.35%22.73%20.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Inter Turku (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.02%1.78cote équitable
EV -4.76%
Avantage -2.80%
Kelly -6.80%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.28%56.14%56.09%57.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.641.651.7065.36%60.83%60.61%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.75%4.21cote équitable
EV +3.32%
Avantage +0.764%
Kelly +0.992%
Croissance +0.033%

avec la cote maximale 4.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.09%23.65%23.76%25.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.843.804.3531.25%26.07%26.32%22.99%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%EV -2.93%E -0.610%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV +3.32%E +0.764%K +0.992%G +0.033%4.1%2026-05-05 12:05
Pinnacle4.79I 20.88%NM 20.12%EV -3.13%E -0.654%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.84%EV +0.234%E +0.055%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 15:55
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
BetAnything4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -4.95%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 14:10
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 14:09
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -5.96%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 15:54
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 15:52
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 15:55
GTbets4.65I 21.51%NM 20.15%EV -5.96%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 14:10
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 14:10
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.93%E -0.610%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 14:09
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 15:54
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:55
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:55
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:55
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:55
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 14:10
1xBet4.86I 20.58%NM 19.21%EV -1.72%E -0.353%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 15:54
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -2.93%E -0.610%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:10
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:10
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:09
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:10
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:10
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 06:04
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 15:54
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 15:54
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 15:54
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 15:54
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 15:54
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 14:10
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 15:55
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.06%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -10.36%E -6.48%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-05 14:35
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 14:09
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.68%E -5.32%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-05 15:54
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 14:10
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 14:09
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 14:09
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.36%E -6.48%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.12%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-05 15:55
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -14.05%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.75%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.66%EV -12.12%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-05 15:54
Unibet (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.46%EV -14.05%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.73%EV -12.60%E -8.08%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -13.30%E -3.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-05 15:54
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.13%EV -10.36%E -6.48%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-05 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 19.77%EV -15.06%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.28%EV -14.28%E -9.33%K -26.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.95%EV -23.99%E -7.50%K -10.91%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-05 14:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-05 15:54