La escuela de los momios

IF Gnistan v FC Inter Turku

Inicio: 2026-05-05 16:00 UTC

Final: IF Gnistan 2–0 FC Inter Turku

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IF Gnistan (Local)

Predicción 20.22%4.94momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.353%
Kelly -0.445%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.86

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.13%20.22%20.15%21.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.204.474.404.8623.81%22.35%22.73%20.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Inter Turku (Visitante)

Predicción 56.02%1.78momio equitativo
EV -4.76%
Ventaja -2.80%
Kelly -6.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.28%56.14%56.09%57.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.641.651.7065.36%60.83%60.61%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.75%4.21momio equitativo
EV +3.32%
Ventaja +0.764%
Kelly +0.992%
Crecimiento +0.033%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.09%23.65%23.76%25.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.843.804.3531.25%26.07%26.32%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 20.02%EV -2.93%E -0.610%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.89%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV +3.32%E +0.764%K +0.992%G +0.033%4.1%2026-05-05 12:05
Pinnacle4.79I 20.88%NM 20.12%EV -3.13%E -0.654%K -0.826%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.04%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.84%EV +0.234%E +0.055%K +0.073%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 15:55
BetOnline.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
LowVig.ag4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
BetAnything4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.32%E -3.15%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-05 15:54
DraftKings4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -4.95%E -1.05%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 14:10
BetMGM4.60I 21.74%NM 20.25%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -4.99%E -1.25%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-05 14:09
Marathon Bet4.65I 21.51%NM 20.05%EV -5.96%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.52%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -5.47%E -1.37%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-05 15:54
Bovada4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 15:52
BetUS4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.88%E -3.50%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-05 15:55
GTbets4.65I 21.51%NM 20.15%EV -5.96%E -1.28%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -6.18%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 14:10
Unibet (UK)4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.39%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-05 14:10
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -2.93%E -0.610%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 14:09
Everygame4.33I 23.09%NM 20.91%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.88%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -7.37%E -1.89%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-05 15:54
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Grosvenor4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:55
TABtouch4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:55
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Unibet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Casumo4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:55
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:55
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.30%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.84%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 15:54
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.85%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.55%E -2.22%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-05 14:10
1xBet4.86I 20.58%NM 19.21%EV -1.72%E -0.353%K -0.445%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.23%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.56%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-05 15:54
Tipico (DE)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -2.93%E -0.610%K -0.771%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.70%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:10
888sport4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:10
William Hill4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:09
Mr Green (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:10
888sport (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97%EV -6.44%E -3.86%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-05 14:10
Betway4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 06:04
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-05 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 15:54
BetRivers4.40I 22.73%NM 20.73%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.27%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-05 15:54
Virgin Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 15:54
LeoVegas4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 15:54
LiveScore Bet4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.42%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 15:54
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 14:10
Bet Victor4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -6.97%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-05 15:55
BoyleSports4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -15.06%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.49%EV -10.36%E -6.48%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -9.74%E -2.56%K -3.48%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-05 14:35
Betr (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 20.66%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.10%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-05 14:09
PlayUp4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.02%E -2.50%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.68%E -5.32%K -13.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-05 15:54
betfred_uk4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 14:10
Neds4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 14:10
Ladbrokes (AU)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-05 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 14:09
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 55.52%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.84%EV -10.93%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-05 14:09
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.00%E -2.00%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -10.36%E -6.48%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.12%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-05 15:55
PMU (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.59%EV -14.05%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 55.75%EV -12.04%E -7.67%K -21.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.66%EV -12.12%E -3.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-05 15:54
Unibet (FR)4.25I 23.53%NM 20.46%EV -14.05%E -3.31%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 55.73%EV -12.60%E -8.08%K -22.50%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.82%EV -13.30%E -3.65%K -5.02%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-05 15:54
Sky Bet4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -12.43%E -2.87%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.13%EV -10.36%E -6.48%K -17.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.50%EV -14.49%E -4.03%K -5.57%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-05 15:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 19.77%EV -15.06%E -3.59%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 54.28%EV -14.28%E -9.33%K -26.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.95%EV -23.99%E -7.50%K -10.91%G +0.000%20.4%2026-05-05 14:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-05 15:55
Matchbook5.30I 18.87%NM 18.72%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.67%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.62%0.8%2026-05-05 15:54