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IF Gnistan v FC Inter Turku

2026-10-07 16:00 UTC — Veikkausliiga - Finland

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prediction 22.71%4.40fair odd
EV -4.61%
Edge -1.10%
Kelly -1.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.87%22.70%22.71%23.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.094.184.2026.67%24.45%23.92%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Inter Turku (Visit)

Prediction 52.24%1.91fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -5.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.13%52.27%52.24%54.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.701.711.8365.79%58.68%58.48%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.04%3.99fair odd
EV -6.09%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.20%25.03%25.04%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.643.703.7528.99%27.50%27.03%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IF Gnistan (Local): 22.71%; FC Inter Turku (Visit): 52.24%; Draw: 25.04%. For FC Inter Turku (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.83, with an expected value of -4.39%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.50%EV -10.66%E -6.23%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-22 13:34
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.28%EV -11.18%E -6.58%K -15.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -9.85%E -2.74%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-22 09:18
LeoVegas🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%EV -4.61%E -1.10%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.08%EV -12.75%E -7.64%K -19.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -7.34%E -1.98%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-22 11:39
Pinnacle🎯4.18I 23.92%NM 22.73%EV -5.06%E -1.21%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.93%EV -4.39%E -2.40%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 09:24
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -6.88%E -1.68%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.53%EV -7.53%E -4.25%K -9.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.79%EV -6.09%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 09:49
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 20.87%EV -9.15%E -2.29%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 54.93%EV -20.59%E -13.54%K -39.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.20%EV -13.60%E -3.94%K -5.55%G +0.000%19.8%2026-09-22 10:09
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -14.83%E -3.95%K -5.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -9.62%E -5.56%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -12.35%E -3.53%K -4.94%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-22 11:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.