Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Gnistan v FC Inter Turku

Kickoff: 2026-10-07 16:00 UTC

Final: IF Gnistan 0–0 FC Inter Turku

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prediction 23.00%4.35fair odd
EV -1.10%
Edge -0.257%
Kelly -0.334%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.37%23.04%22.91%24.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.553.903.854.3028.17%25.64%25.97%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Inter Turku (Visit)

Prediction 51.65%1.94fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -5.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.08%51.58%51.75%52.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.781.801.8561.35%56.07%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.35%3.95fair odd
EV -3.94%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.21%25.38%25.34%26.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.573.553.7929.85%28.01%28.17%26.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Gnistan (Local): 23.00%; FC Inter Turku (Visit): 51.65%; Draw: 25.35%. For IF Gnistan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.30, with an expected value of -1.10%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.37%EV -1.10%E -0.257%K -0.334%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.99%EV -4.44%E -2.40%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-23 12:00
Pinnacle🎯4.22I 23.70%NM 22.50%EV -2.94%E -0.697%K -0.914%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.45%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.05%EV -3.94%E -1.04%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 14:15
GTbets🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.75%EV -4.55%E -1.10%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.66%EV -6.72%E -1.83%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-01 03:00
DraftKings🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.93%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-04 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 13:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 22:15
BetUS🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.76%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.52%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 23:04
Marathon Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.70%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -8.06%E -4.53%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.02%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-25 19:28
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-23 12:55
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.00%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-23 12:55
1xBet🎯4.08I 24.51%NM 22.92%EV -6.16%E -1.51%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.95%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.14%EV -5.71%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-26 08:25
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -5.99%E -3.29%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 06:24
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -5.47%E -2.99%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-04 04:10
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.10%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.92%EV -8.06%E -4.53%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.98%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-23 12:55
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.04%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.06%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.22%E -1.68%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-23 13:00
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-01 17:35
888sport (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-01 17:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-01 17:35
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-01 22:24
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 17:23
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.99%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-04 17:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-02 21:05
Bet Right🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -8.06%E -4.53%K -10.33%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -7.48%E -2.05%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-30 21:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-27 11:10
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -11.45%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.08%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -13.82%E -4.07%K -5.76%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-05 09:15
LeoVegas🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 06:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 17:45
Grosvenor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 17:45
Casumo🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 17:45
betPARX🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 17:45
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 17:50
TABtouch🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.98%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.35%EV -6.51%E -3.59%K -8.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.67%EV -10.02%E -2.82%K -3.93%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-30 21:09
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.89%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -4.95%E -1.32%K -1.80%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-05 01:30
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -8.75%E -2.43%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-02 16:13
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.73%EV -12.19%E -7.17%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.13%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-26 06:50
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -7.02%E -3.90%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-30 21:00
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-04 16:05
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-04 04:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-04 04:10
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-04 04:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.75%E -3.67%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.61%E -5.49%K -12.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -11.29%E -3.22%K -4.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-04 04:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-30 17:45
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.22%EV -8.57%E -4.84%K -11.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-30 20:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.36%EV -9.09%E -5.16%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-30 17:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%EV -14.90%E -4.03%K -5.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.36%EV -9.09%E -5.16%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -12.55%E -3.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-30 17:45
Unibet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 23.10%EV -16.05%E -4.40%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 51.73%EV -15.80%E -9.70%K -25.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.17%EV -15.09%E -4.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%18.6%2026-10-05 06:25
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.11%EV -18.35%E -5.17%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 50.34%EV -12.19%E -7.17%K -17.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.55%EV -15.09%E -4.50%K -6.42%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-30 17:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.92%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.75%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.33%3.9%2026-10-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.84%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%4.2%2026-10-05 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 22.84%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.58%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.58%4.2%2026-10-05 15:15