The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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IF Gnistan v AC Oulu

Kickoff: 2026-10-24 14:00 UTC

Final: IF Gnistan 3–4 AC Oulu

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IF Gnistan (Local)

Prediction 48.50%2.06fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.87%48.52%48.54%50.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.891.912.0158.82%52.78%52.36%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AC Oulu (Visit)

Prediction 26.80%3.73fair odd
EV +3.18%
Edge +0.827%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.036%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.97%26.68%26.75%27.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.413.403.8532.26%29.35%29.41%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.70%4.05fair odd
EV -1.21%
Edge -0.302%
Kelly -0.403%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.75%24.80%24.71%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.623.604.0030.77%27.61%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IF Gnistan (Local): 48.50%; AC Oulu (Visit): 26.80%; Draw: 24.70%. For AC Oulu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.07%EV -6.88%E -3.58%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%EV +3.18%E +0.827%K +1.12%G +0.036%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.97%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-24 12:29
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -8.82%E -4.69%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -0.837%E -0.226%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:55
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.25%EV -8.82%E -4.69%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -0.837%E -0.226%K -0.310%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-24 13:55
BetUS🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.97%EV -5.91%E -3.04%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.03%EV -2.18%E -0.597%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.00%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 13:55
BetAnything🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.08%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -3.52%E -0.977%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.60%EV -4.91%E -1.28%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-24 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.48%EV -6.88%E -3.58%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.76%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -1.21%E -0.302%K -0.403%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-24 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.53%EV -4.86%E -1.37%K -1.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.15%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Pinnacle🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 48.16%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.58%EV -5.93%E -1.69%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.26%EV -1.46%E -0.365%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-24 13:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -6.39%E -3.31%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 13:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-24 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.52%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.20%E -1.77%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -12.32%E -3.47%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-24 13:55
1xBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.22%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.80%EV -6.47%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -3.68%E -0.943%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-24 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.73%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.90%EV -7.27%E -2.10%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.37%EV -5.65%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-24 12:15
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.61%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -7.54%E -2.18%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -7.38%E -1.97%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-24 13:55
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.87%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.37%EV -8.61%E -2.52%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.76%EV -6.89%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-24 12:06
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -5.42%E -2.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-24 13:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-24 13:45
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -6.88%E -3.58%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.01%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -9.85%E -2.70%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-24 13:45
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 13:53
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.92%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-24 13:54
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 13:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 13:55
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.92%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.62%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-24 13:55
Unibet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:15
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:15
Grosvenor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:15
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:15
betPARX🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -8.88%E -2.61%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-24 12:15
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-24 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.30%EV -8.82%E -4.69%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -16.03%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 12:15
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.30%EV -8.82%E -4.69%K -10.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.54%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.15%EV -16.03%E -4.71%K -6.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-24 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.25%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-24 12:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.25%EV -9.30%E -4.97%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -10.22%E -3.05%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.38%EV -17.26%E -5.15%K -7.35%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-24 12:15
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.15%E -1.62%K -2.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-24 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-24 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.53%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.26%EV -8.62%E -2.33%K -3.19%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.20%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.02%EV -11.56%E -3.50%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.77%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-24 13:55
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 13:39
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 13:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.87%EV -7.36%E -3.85%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.55%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-24 13:39
betfred_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -7.85%E -4.13%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -13.56%E -3.87%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-24 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.31%EV -12.21%E -6.75%K -15.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -12.90%E -3.97%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.35%EV -19.73%E -6.07%K -8.77%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-24 12:15
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.27%E -5.55%K -12.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%13.1%2026-10-24 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 49.41%EV -17.55%E -10.32%K -25.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.25%EV -14.24%E -4.45%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.35%EV -14.79%E -4.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%19.1%2026-10-24 13:58
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -12.70%E -7.05%K -15.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.92%E -5.46%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -11.09%E -3.08%K -4.26%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-24 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.93%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.36%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.2%2026-10-24 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.62%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62%1.5%2026-10-24 13:55

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