Language:English
HJK Helsinki v VPS Vaasa
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HJK Helsinki (Local)
Prediction 59.10%1.69fair odd
EV -4.84%
Edge -3.01%
Kelly -7.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.65%59.15%58.97%61.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.561.561.6169.93%63.98%64.10%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
VPS Vaasa (Visit)
Prediction 18.22%5.49fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +0.521%
Kelly +0.633%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 5.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.01%18.20%18.33%20.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.895.005.6522.73%20.46%20.00%17.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.68%4.41fair odd
EV +2.05%
Edge +0.455%
Kelly +0.585%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.36%22.65%22.70%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.994.004.5027.03%25.08%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HJK Helsinki (Local): 59.10%; VPS Vaasa (Visit): 18.22%; Draw: 22.68%. For VPS Vaasa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.62%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.01%EV +2.94%E +0.521%K +0.633%G +0.019% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.36%EV +2.05%E +0.455%K +0.585%G +0.012% | 4.0% | 2026-09-23 12:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -1.61%E -0.299%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -12.69%E -3.30%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-22 18:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.72%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -1.61%E -0.299%K -0.367%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.10%EV -12.69%E -3.30%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-22 18:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.37%EV -2.52%E -0.472%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -3.62%E -0.852%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-30 11:56 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.56%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.73%EV -2.71%E -0.507%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 22.71%EV -5.44%E -1.30%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 08:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.35%E -0.828%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -3.62%E -0.852%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-30 11:35 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -4.35%E -0.828%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.74%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.41%EV -4.35%E -0.828%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-05 15:11 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -4.84%E -3.01%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.31%EV -6.17%E -1.20%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.11%EV -7.48%E -1.83%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-02 00:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -7.08%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.99%EV -6.62%E -4.19%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -7.08%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.45%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -7.08%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-22 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.61%EV -8.98%E -5.83%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.00%EV -7.08%E -1.39%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-22 13:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 13:22 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.62%EV -6.03%E -3.79%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.73%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-02 13:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 15:01 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -4.76%E -1.13%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -7.02%E -1.71%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-02 17:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 09:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.60%EV -7.21%E -4.59%K -12.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.40%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-02 09:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-02 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.75%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-03 15:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-22 09:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-27 11:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.57%E -6.26%K -18.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -8.90%E -1.78%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -14.96%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-01 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.46%EV -10.72%E -2.19%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-01 15:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.35%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.46%E -2.83%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-05 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -11.35%E -7.56%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -13.46%E -2.83%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -9.29%E -2.32%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-09-22 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.05%EV -5.44%E -3.40%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.42%E -2.64%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 15:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 15:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 15:23 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.66%EV -8.39%E -5.41%K -15.26%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -16.19%E -3.52%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.91%EV -11.56%E -2.96%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 58.80%EV -15.48%E -10.83%K -36.01%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 18.48%EV -17.10%E -3.76%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 22.72%EV -16.09%E -4.35%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 18.9% | 2026-10-04 15:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.01%E -4.00%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -12.69%E -3.30%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-04 10:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 57.08%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -18.01%E -4.00%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -12.69%E -3.30%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-04 10:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.69%EV -11.35%E -7.56%K -22.69%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.23%EV -18.01%E -4.00%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -14.96%E -3.99%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-09-27 05:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -19.83%E -4.51%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 56.65%EV -7.80%E -5.00%K -13.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -19.83%E -4.51%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.26%EV -13.83%E -3.64%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-04 10:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78% | 13.7% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78% | 13.7% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 58.27% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.96% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.78% | 13.7% | 2026-10-05 15:05 |